TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbc33…eb35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
113
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst WNBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT7157.7%41 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$407Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$477.95
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.66
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.68
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.55
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.87
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+60%+$114.27
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$652.97
United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$988Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$987.6
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$509.55
Mexico vs. England: Mexico O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$879Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$647.49
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$596.36
Paraguay vs. France: Paraguay O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$468Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.09
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$734Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$733.81
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$978Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$978.39
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.32
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$708.05
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$485Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$485.36
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 10.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.18
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Bosnia and Herzegovina O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.17
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$721Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$721.29
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$775.13
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$339Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$397.63
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$946Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+129.8%+$1,226.99
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$580.85
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$833Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$277.61
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Atreides (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.64
Counter-Strike: Mindfreak vs Ground Zero (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Playoffsbacked Mindfreak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.93
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$143.62
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$109.87
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BORRACHEIROS - Map 1 Winnerbacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$385
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$371.49
Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)backed K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$729.86
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.76
Counter-Strike: Atreides vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Cbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.62
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winnerbacked UNO MILLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.66
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$94.43
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$134.8
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+201.3%+$106.85
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd - Map 1 Winnerbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$75.8
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+125%+$359.8
Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Playoffsbacked Yawara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$782.2
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs The Last Resort (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Bbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$308.76
Counter-Strike: ALKA vs BESTIA Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A June Playoffsbacked BESTIA Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.94
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,445Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$848.86
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs NIP (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,469.47
Counter-Strike: Alpha Dominion Nation vs Millennium Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Millennium Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,213Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$1,139.52
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO (BO3) - Super DraculaN Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,458.93
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$607.41
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+155.7%+$778.63
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,079.92
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: TYLOO vs FunPlus Phoenix - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$35.8
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerbacked Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$165.74
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$983.46
Valorant: la Masia vs Team Solid (BO5) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked la Masia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+103.3%+$52.88
Valorant: Team Solid vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCL Brazil: Playoffsbacked Team Solid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$644Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$644.22
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.8
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked ONSIDE GAMING · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$351.65
Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked SaD Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$537Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$457.94
All 8 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$493.7
Will Nashville SC win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$287.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.53
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.66
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.17
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.