Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x022c60981efff0be50e340d9007d9d439eaf1cc12cede854ba34cf523ef2eb10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SaD Esportsof M80, SaD Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed2c…9597backed SaD Esports | 65c | 1,187$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.58 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed SaD Esports | 44c | 1,059$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.9 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked M80 | 49c | 1,003$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.72 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…eb35backed SaD Esports | 54c | 995.42$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.94 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed M80 | 57c | 509.93$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.67 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed M80 | 28c | 508.26$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.79 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…357bbacked M80 | 55c | 505.15$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed M80 | 54c | 497.59$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.84 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked M80 | 47c | 363.67$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.18 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed SaD Esports | 73c | 336$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.36 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked M80 | 26c | 326.57$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SaD Esports | 56c | 313.89$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.63 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 54c | 293.2$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.89 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked M80 | 28c | 280.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed SaD Esports | 51c | 239.43$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.32 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked SaD Esports | 42c | 238.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked SaD Esports | 52c | 218.88$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed M80 | 52c | 186.06$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked M80 | 47c | 185.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.32 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SaD Esports | 60c | 184.29$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed M80 | 45c | 155$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed M80 | 27c | 153.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SaD Esports | 43c | 101.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked SaD Esports | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked M80 | 49c | 98.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed M80 | 34c | 98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked M80 | 53c | 94.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked M80 | 29c | 88.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed M80 | 32c | 78.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…1cc4backed M80 | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed SaD Esports | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked SaD Esports | 53c | 57.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed M80 | 48c | 55.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…7911backed SaD Esports | 63c | 55.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed SaD Esports | 56c | 51.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…be53backed M80 | 25c | 47.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.36per pick | 47cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe132…abf3backed SaD Esports | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed M80 | 55c | 35.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed M80 | 68c | 32.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked M80 | 44c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked SaD Esports | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c40…44a1backed M80 | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed SaD Esports | 45c | 23.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed SaD Esports | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed SaD Esports | 71c | 19.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…cd13backed M80 | 64c | 17.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.