Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x719fb6ce35b1ccad2e4c8b7ea5e1a6fd618cf5dc5865f3d12bb700709b7b3db7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, SaD Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,845
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,845 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed M80 | 76c | 663.05$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed M80 | 55c | 514.39$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.23 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SaD Esports | 45c | 287.29$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked M80 | 74c | 269.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.13 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SaD Esports | 31c | 206.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…7636backed SaD Esports | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SaD Esports | 21c | 171.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb9…8d05backed M80 | 60c | 167.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SaD Esports | 28c | 146$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed M80 | 71c | 144.04$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked SaD Esports | 45c | 139.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked M80 | 69c | 132.36$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1001…0cf1backed SaD Esports | 24c | 129.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed SaD Esports | 21c | 120.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.29 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked SaD Esports | 15c | 119$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked SaD Esports | 27c | 110.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed SaD Esports | 40c | 104.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SaD Esports | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SaD Esports | 13c | 94.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed SaD Esports | 55c | 93.58$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed SaD Esports | 28c | 83.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed SaD Esports | 33c | 81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked SaD Esports | 33c | 63.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.61 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked M80 | 76c | 63.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked SaD Esports | 42c | 55.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 176 | 53.4%94 W · 82 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SaD Esports | 22c | 54.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed SaD Esports | 43c | 51.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53b1…8e43backed SaD Esports | 27c | 43.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked SaD Esports | 35c | 28.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked M80 | 65c | 28.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed M80 | 71c | 27.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…7911backed M80 | 68c | 22.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageM80 won
- Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports - Map 2 WinnerSaD Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.