TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: M80 vs SaD Esports (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
M80of M80, SaD Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,715 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed SaD Esports35c4,337$1,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.3746326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed M8054c3,161$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.3218457.1%105 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed M8067c2,996$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.662352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked M8067c2,543$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.571,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed SaD Esports40c2,060$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.155048%24 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed M8055c2,001$1,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.4439042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked M8062c1,361$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4928541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed SaD Esports31c1,347$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.481,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed SaD Esports46c1,270$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.21346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed SaD Esports39c1,096$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.6644342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked M8065c1,081$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.351866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed M8055c1,061$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.7323151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed M8072c986.77$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.6523745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdcb…36c9backed SaD Esports36c981.4$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502055%11 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+42.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed M8067c826.74$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6893049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SaD Esports30c795.02$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.341,30943.8%573 W · 736 L-44.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed SaD Esports42c752.19$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.8313225%33 W · 99 L-18.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.1%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked M8069c739.08$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.213441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed SaD Esports30c712.91$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.1317332.4%56 W · 117 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed M8060c697.97$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.8823447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked SaD Esports39c574.8$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5384838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked M8078c560$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2835142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed M8053c554.31$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.314755.3%26 W · 21 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4702…5d04backed SaD Esports47c542.92$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.432441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-28.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed M8060c536.63$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.657252.8%38 W · 34 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked SaD Esports35c522.43$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5396245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked SaD Esports33c522.2$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5928743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff2…8ea1backed M8059c512.16$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.16887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.34per pick53cpaid+87.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed SaD Esports43c501$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.431926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5284…6f2bbacked SaD Esports33c448.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28dc…357bbacked M8073c436.65$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.651070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d3a…9683backed SaD Esports44c429.64$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked SaD Esports40c399.43$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.9370043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa461…878abacked M8072c390.05$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.061573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed SaD Esports55c390$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.854535.6%16 W · 29 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed M8059c385.42$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2522344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed SaD Esports45c370$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.51250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked M8061c340.82$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.151,60845.2%727 W · 881 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed M8052c318.08$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5515358.8%90 W · 63 L+14.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x42dd…5d2bbacked SaD Esports45c312.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.44537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed SaD Esports41c304.59$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.5454342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked SaD Esports44c299.99$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.7734443.3%149 W · 195 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed SaD Esports47c286.12$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.374642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffa…7710backed SaD Esports42c264.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.043633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed SaD Esports38c262.75$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.169722.8%159 W · 538 L-94.4wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-54.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked M8059c256.42$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.45655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed M8056c250.54$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.587544%33 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9a…0cd4backed SaD Esports32c243.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.92030%6 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked M8074c237.64$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6410975.2%82 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked SaD Esports37c234.07$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6315833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed SaD Esports49c233.47$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.48158%47 W · 34 L+8.0wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5006…48cabacked SaD Esports41c227.49$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.278334.9%29 W · 54 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked SaD Esports47c224.56$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4877744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked SaD Esports26c219.89$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.85757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x783f…c3e7backed M8062c219.57$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked SaD Esports44c213.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked SaD Esports43c210.06$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9942140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed M8061c209.6$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.2211564.3%74 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cf8…043dbacked SaD Esports40c207$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.840%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac89…3783backed SaD Esports44c204.17$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.831947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed M8055c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904339.5%17 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed SaD Esports45c187.02$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1617640.3%71 W · 105 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed SaD Esports34c178.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x640e…e904backed SaD Esports45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802045%9 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked M8058c172.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7662856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed M8056c160$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.443059.8%257 W · 173 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf908…0aafbacked SaD Esports45c155.56$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7013043.1%56 W · 74 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked M8057c155.21$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.11,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa533…755fbacked SaD Esports44c154.94$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.195759.6%34 W · 23 L+6.3wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed M8068c154$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9311442.1%48 W · 66 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f72…996fbacked SaD Esports40c153.82$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed SaD Esports45c153.67$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.154953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked SaD Esports35c152.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.241346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked M8067c144.25$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.25560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3d17…b1fdbacked M8060c141.49$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.493100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed SaD Esports45c140$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6312149.6%60 W · 61 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked M8056c140$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.616241.4%67 W · 95 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked M8053c123.42$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5419943.7%87 W · 112 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…72d2backed SaD Esports40c123.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.344351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked SaD Esports35c122.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1190733.1%300 W · 607 L-89.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked SaD Esports35c120.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1540254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed SaD Esports29c112$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4866438.1%253 W · 411 L-31.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6bf…05b6backed SaD Esports30c111.6$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.821729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked SaD Esports41c111.11$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2314729.9%44 W · 103 L-19.2wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6727…231dbacked SaD Esports44c111$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.84742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed M8056c111$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8425453.5%136 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed SaD Esports49c107.56$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.481553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed M8067c106.23$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6535331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked M8056c105.02$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0242051.9%218 W · 202 L-21.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5501…fe9abacked SaD Esports46c103.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474231%13 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked M8055c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458951.7%46 W · 43 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf481…7911backed M8070c98.92$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.253167.7%21 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+22.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed M8044c98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9599846%459 W · 539 L-27.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x239c…f7c2backed SaD Esports34c94.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.591118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-51.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed SaD Esports35c93.09$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.771,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc29c…1e43backed M8055c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.915345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2338…27f6backed SaD Esports45c88.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013243.2%57 W · 75 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked M8055c86.63$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8120553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade6…c465backed SaD Esports36c85.21$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2965347.3%309 W · 344 L-18.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86ff…1d98backed SaD Esports28c84.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.86425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.