Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cd5a39058e37c1f16cc13a9c30a1e0b39c283360705e2b8d4b4dcfe24e72039
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Team Liquid, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,685
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,685 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8660…93edbacked Eternal Fire | 51c | 5,443$2,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.71 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Liquid | 45c | 5,317$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.73 | 409 | 45.7%187 W · 222 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d0…7bbfbacked Eternal Fire | 58c | 4,598$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.16 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 3,704$1,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,563.07 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc0…e6a6backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 2,640$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Liquid | 18c | 1,472$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.56 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…07cabacked Eternal Fire | 56c | 1,409$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.04 | 151 | 60.3%91 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed Team Liquid | 43c | 1,303$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.29 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 1,296$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.12 | 639 | 55.6%355 W · 284 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 1,101$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.43 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 1,043$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.45 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 47c | 757.24$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.95 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Eternal Fire | 53c | 533.42$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.71 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 527.61$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.05 | 121 | 43%52 W · 69 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf9…d60bbacked Team Liquid | 43c | 512.18$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Liquid | 57c | 430.75$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…eb35backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 418.07$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c70…9168backed Team Liquid | 42c | 406$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.52 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Eternal Fire | 56c | 400$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Liquid | 47c | 381.38$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…a172backed Team Liquid | 47c | 360.4$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 334$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.62 | 224 | 55.4%124 W · 100 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6277backed Team Liquid | 9c | 332.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 330.28$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed Team Liquid | 32c | 311.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Team Liquid | 42c | 288.1$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Team Liquid | 39c | 283.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.57 | 214 | 57%122 W · 92 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…933abacked Eternal Fire | 75c | 268.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Eternal Fire | 40c | 217.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.25 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026b…8804backed Eternal Fire | 43c | 193.87$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.38 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Eternal Fire | 63c | 186$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.57 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39ce…9378backed Team Liquid | 42c | 173.81$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…20bdbacked Eternal Fire | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Team Liquid | 40c | 166.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Team Liquid | 42c | 161.9$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 361 | 45.7%165 W · 196 L | +22.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Team Liquid | 43c | 146.91$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Liquid | 45c | 140$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed Team Liquid | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Team Liquid | 42c | 119.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 115.71$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 342 | 53.2%182 W · 160 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…ed59backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 109.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 107.24$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.33 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Liquid | 42c | 102.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Liquid | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 389 | 50.6%197 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 85.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 254 | 53.5%136 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Eternal Fire | 42c | 84.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Team Liquid | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 205 | 47.8%98 W · 107 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Liquid | 48c | 79.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0420…58bbbacked Team Liquid | 53c | 76.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…aea9backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 71.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe865…ae26backed Team Liquid | 50c | 71.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 38cpaid | -85.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Team Liquid | 41c | 70$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 116 | 37.9%44 W · 72 L | -15.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Team Liquid | 51c | 63.88$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Eternal Fire | 71c | 62.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Team Liquid | 40c | 52.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff95…859cbacked Eternal Fire | 56c | 52.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 120 | 56.7%68 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ee…0439backed Team Liquid | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 45.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -7.4wins | -0.24per pick | 43cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Eternal Fire | 50c | 42.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.18 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Team Liquid | 33c | 39.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Eternal Fire | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Eternal Fire | 56c | 26.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Eternal Fire | 60c | 25.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Team Liquid | 42c | 25.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Team Liquid | 41c | 25.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Eternal Fire | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked Team Liquid | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9a…72e7backed Eternal Fire | 58c | 18.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaEternal Fire won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.