Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4b8b53349cea9b6ae506de0b69c904dfc98c5b46500985a38d13ad2531e0f0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Eternal Fire, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Eternal Fire | 41c | 5,000$2,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,968.39 | 524 | 55.2%289 W · 235 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 3,586$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.8 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,046$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.06 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a8…d2c8backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 615.37$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.53 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebdc…778abacked Eternal Fire | 38c | 530.62$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.3 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Team Liquid | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 189 | 40.7%77 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…28f2backed Team Liquid | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Team Liquid | 62c | 338.71$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 274.14$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.25 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -10.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Eternal Fire | 38c | 266.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.21 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Eternal Fire | 44c | 171.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.45 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed Eternal Fire | 35c | 162.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Liquid | 62c | 137.26$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…fee6backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 134$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…6182backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Team Liquid | 42c | 120$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.55 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Team Liquid | 40c | 110.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Liquid | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 344 | 43.3%149 W · 195 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b7…3798backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…8be9backed Team Liquid | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -8.4wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Team Liquid | 42c | 95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xece3…19ddbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 86.17$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…cf36backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Eternal Fire | 35c | 65.54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 439 | 43.7%192 W · 247 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Team Liquid | 64c | 62.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 46cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Eternal Fire | 61c | 59.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…dcf3backed Eternal Fire | 38c | 53.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 50.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Liquid | 57c | 48.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 494 | 55.3%273 W · 221 L | +23.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Team Liquid | 65c | 46.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -7.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa4…865cbacked Eternal Fire | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Team Liquid | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team Liquid | 66c | 28.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 672 | 50.6%340 W · 332 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Team Liquid | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)Eternal Fire won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaEternal Fire won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Valorant: Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.