TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x00a8…d2c8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT5442.6%23 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$241.56
Valorant: Fnatic vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Enterprise Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+181.4%+$154.7
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Enterprise Esports (+1.5)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.17
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs REBORN (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.1
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Joblife (+1.5)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Joblife (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Valorant: GIANTX vs Eintracht Frankfurt (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$289
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$344.99
Valorant: SK Nebula vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+185.4%+$429.99
Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs SwimTrek Blue (BO3) - VCT Game Changers North America Group Stagebacked SwimTrek Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$383.84
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+140.6%+$285.57
Valorant: G2 Esports vs Sentinels - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+150.8%+$259.41
Valorant: Cloud9 vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Omegabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$208Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$264.15
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.97
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$352
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$162.93
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs 2GAME Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked 2GAME Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.32
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 4 Winnerbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.09
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 2 Winnerbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$123.61
Valorant: BESTIA vs Contra - Map 3 Winnerbacked Contra · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.85
Valorant: Fnatic vs GIANTX - Map 1 Winnerbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$121
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.6
Valorant: Team Secret vs VARREL (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omegabacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Map Handicap: EF (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5)backed Eternal Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$381.53
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$266
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$295.65
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$173
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$348.66
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$217.22
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$347.3
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.09
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$157
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$209.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$234.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$234
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New Orleans Pelicansbacked New Orleans Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.