TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,789,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,906,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,789,309 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b4e…0232backed Under51c610,393$310,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310,911.23354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Under51c531,480$270,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270,990.0115249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x987b…df43backed Over50c430,902$216,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214,456.082360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x81da…a109backed Over51c393,794$199,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193,919.962085%17 W · 3 L+7.9wins+0.40per pick45cpaid+82.2%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over49c340,859$167,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173,857.2877152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb6…06dabacked Over52c200,000$104,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,0003759.5%22 W · 15 L+6.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+32.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Over49c151,765$74,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77,400.1520844.7%93 W · 115 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Over54c143,519$77,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,018.5219644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6c3…600fbacked Over53c124,408$66,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,089.094148.8%20 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under50c121,553$60,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,250.652,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked Under49c112,180$54,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,968.217852.2%93 W · 85 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ac…b964backed Under45c106,997$48,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,078.645749.1%28 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under46c100,000$46,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,999.9474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b9…4affbacked Under47c100,000$46,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,599.934040%16 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c79,168$37,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,401.851,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Over54c77,778$42,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,777.889747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Under49c64,680$31,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,693.1911647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3da4…367ebacked Under55c63,945$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0006943.5%30 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under48c40,000$19,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,199.9915950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over46c39,385$18,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,107.042,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Under65c38,643$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00014734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd0e…9884backed Over55c36,364$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,363.643151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Over49c34,602$16,955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,647.025843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over49c30,612$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,612.2418740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa3c…3111backed Under65c30,453$19,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,928.444341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over52c29,753$15,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,133.871,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under48c29,000$14,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,062.393943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under48c28,163$13,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,644.892,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over55c20,000$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,00027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Under49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8008349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Under47c20,000$9,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,399.9320044.5%89 W · 111 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over47c18,103$8,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,562.791,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over54c18,000$9,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,2802,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over50c17,954$9,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,933.747448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7a4…e371backed Under49c17,669$8,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,657.714235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under54c17,160$9,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,266.3925844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over53c16,666$8,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,832.9414045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c16,631$8,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,050.348,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c15,152$7,158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,157.8336031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2862…5586backed Under46c15,001$6,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,900.483237.5%12 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x514b…5fa9backed Over32c15,000$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,249.977538.7%29 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b12…5ee4backed Under48c14,888$7,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,146.221435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over55c14,706$8,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,670.9517949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd586…7c9bbacked Over49c14,286$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,285.711450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Over49c14,286$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,285.711369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under48c14,100$6,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,76810146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b5f…cdfcbacked Under49c14,000$6,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,8602850%14 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c13,561$6,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,855.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over73c12,126$8,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,323.2739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under49c12,000$5,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,88036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under49c12,000$5,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8201,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over52c11,508$5,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,523.975841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under2c11,246$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.9310942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45b5…c5a8backed Over49c11,000$5,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,6102462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+34.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over46c10,577$4,904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,673.53,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Under48c10,500$5,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,064.777653.9%41 W · 35 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Over55c10,075$5,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,533.756842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under1c10,010$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,90059230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Under46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,60012536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.9821937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Under46c10,000$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,599.9610840.7%44 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over52c9,700$5,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,65612254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under7c9,683$631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$630.6719744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fad…668dbacked Over55c9,091$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,090.91850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Over50c8,869$4,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,434.510744.9%48 W · 59 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Under49c8,649$4,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,238.086939.1%27 W · 42 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over54c8,333$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,833.3313544.4%60 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Over45c8,073$3,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,440.28440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over54c8,030$4,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,693.85429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under48c7,942$3,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,780.161,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under8c7,701$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.4139933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b2…5f6bbacked Over52c7,692$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,692.312556%14 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Over52c7,298$3,795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,503.282842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under49c7,000$3,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,444.9747643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over50c6,890$3,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,477.798158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Over69c6,756$4,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.878728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c6,643$3,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,190.971,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under49c6,585$3,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,195.0123949.4%118 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under49c6,500$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Under48c6,438$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.3114055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c6,236$3,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,057.582,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8edd…74d2backed Under49c6,122$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008835.2%31 W · 57 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under45c6,044$2,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,719.6729232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under48c5,985$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,871.9121849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under50c5,888$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9445345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under48c5,812$2,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,818.271,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Over30c5,760$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,031.7534964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over44c5,737$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,236.311,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd3…394cbacked Under49c5,682$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,78413857.2%79 W · 59 L+9.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6f66…0d6abacked Under49c5,676$2,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,781540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf531…121cbacked Over52c5,577$2,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.9217944.1%79 W · 100 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under49c5,500$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,70047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under54c5,200$2,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8086056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d1…f8e6backed Under49c5,108$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c5,102$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,602.0412554.4%68 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over49c5,100$2,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under49c5,096$2,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,498.9213448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94e4…87e0backed Under56c5,067$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,837.435523.6%13 W · 42 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8453…0db2backed Under49c5,014$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4572425%6 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.