TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,856
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,563

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,856 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x69a1…22b8backed Over30c2,000$600 inWon+$1,399.972763%17 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+47.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c1,652$1,089 inWon+$562.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under70c1,500$1,050 inLost-$1,049.981,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under33c1,165$385 inLost-$384.5246550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under37c933.7$349 inLost-$348.553,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over63c531.94$338 inWon+$194.2929558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under38c482.49$183 inLost-$183.341,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11a2…0532backed Over66c424.24$280 inWon+$144.246665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under34c356$122 inLost-$122.453,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c334$140 inLost-$139.624,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd004…d35ebacked Over62c322.58$200 inWon+$122.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6faf…de48backed Over66c318.18$210 inWon+$108.1820224.8%50 W · 152 L-15.8wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5266…aac8backed Over62c300$186 inWon+$11420651.9%107 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under70c300$210 inLost-$21079149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9728…cb59backed Over65c293.02$190 inWon+$102.861827.8%5 W · 13 L-5.4wins-0.30per pick58cpaid-53.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x05ad…dda9backed Over61c237.7$145 inWon+$92.71747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9264…5453backed Over30c214.35$64 inWon+$150.042045%9 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under39c194$76 inLost-$75.663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Under40c189.08$76 inLost-$75.6341231.6%130 W · 282 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under34c178.82$61 inLost-$61.164,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over62c175$109 inWon+$66.55745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under67c160.48$107 inLost-$10748055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Under38c146.05$55 inLost-$55.521240.6%86 W · 126 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under62c133$83 inLost-$82.6277051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over67c115.48$77 inWon+$38.119954.5%54 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under38c99.96$38 inLost-$37.991,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c47…fc6dbacked Over48c98.64$48 inWon+$51.0812954.3%70 W · 59 L+14.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+89.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under70c74.99$52 inLost-$52.4930547.2%144 W · 161 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8a…a117backed Under70c70.87$50 inLost-$49.618863.6%56 W · 32 L+10.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over61c40$24 inWon+$15.642640.1%171 W · 255 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe18c…e6ccbacked Over57c35.09$20 inWon+$15.095750.9%29 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Under36c35$13 inLost-$12.646247.6%220 W · 242 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ad…ac18backed Over62c32.26$20 inWon+$12.264658.7%27 W · 19 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over67c31$21 inWon+$10.341,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Under70c28.57$20 inLost-$2019754.3%107 W · 90 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc89…095cbacked Under70c28$20 inLost-$19.65639.3%22 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over61c26.34$16 inWon+$10.2711343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Over61c25$15 inWon+$9.752,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd301…f176backed Over64c15.63$10 inWon+$5.638055%44 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.