TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$466,519
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$476,910

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $466,519 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over17c79,371$13,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,50019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over2c21,766$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.961,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Over0c20,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over14c18,651$2,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,611.2159230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over16c12,205$1,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,907.668,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Over3c11,677$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.27545.6%3 W · 51 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick7cpaid-36.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over25c9,521$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,413.911,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over14c9,027$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.041,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over9c8,792$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806.093,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over6c8,368$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.943,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over15c8,050$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.741,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed2f…8f01backed Over14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-53.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under79c5,449$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,128.8165948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70022342.6%95 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+53.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over2c4,630$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7275335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over3c4,169$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4351514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Under77c3,867$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.5211149.5%55 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over18c3,562$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.8639644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over1c3,352$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over16c3,125$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over8c2,484$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.2435424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Over19c2,331$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.3336123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over14c2,250$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.7634125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over0c2,143$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over11c1,986$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.052,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Over8c1,967$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.367828.2%22 W · 56 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under67c1,742$1,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.1522029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over15c1,318$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over13c1,306$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.7734924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee9…f7acbacked Over1c1,170$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136041.7%25 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over13c1,053$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.351,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over14c1,049$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.8814323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over1c1,025$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ee9…47e5backed Under78c1,023$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.62040%8 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over13c976.3$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.922,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x764f…64a1backed Over13c946$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9717732.2%57 W · 120 L+0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under78c897.43$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.9323857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over11c892.67$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.022,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over1c880$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1634845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over23c842.7$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8428025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Under62c809.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.095541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over12c783.29$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.561,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over14c732.92$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.332,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x254a…bc44backed Over7c714.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506144.3%27 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over14c700$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62bd…52b6backed Under79c595.14$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.145358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over13c593.02$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0122634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over14c569.47$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4985550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over12c552$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9643826.3%115 W · 323 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c1…6de9backed Under77c525.11$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.31323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.4wins-0.34per pick57cpaid-65.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Over8c500$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413713.5%5 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Over12c468.82$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.261,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x744b…848ebacked Over15c466.67$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707034.3%24 W · 46 L-0.3wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over11c463$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1258642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8edc…552bbacked Over23c407.74$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.181963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb70…52c0backed Under77c390.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1215648.1%75 W · 81 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73c9…de41backed Over16c381.56$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.051421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Over14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over8c354.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.544,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5026716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Under77c300$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.44452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over20c300$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6024533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd9…3dadbacked Over13c292.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-33.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd582…4561backed Over14c274.21$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.391915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick16cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04f9…9848backed Under79c268.07$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5622553.8%121 W · 104 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa68…8d45backed Over18c261.11$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475927.1%16 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb4c…612bbacked Under77c260$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.065058%29 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5137…2fc4backed Under77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over15c245.53$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.837022.9%16 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ff…5102backed Over23c218.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014317.5%25 W · 118 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9759…cb52backed Over14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010013%13 W · 87 L-9.1wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-34.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over15c206.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3143819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…131ebacked Over12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1756.7%5 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick9cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…dad6backed Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406448.4%31 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Over22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.85137.3%19 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over7c200$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd8…af91backed Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405831%18 W · 40 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Over8c199.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.246525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x066d…8e11backed Over17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344535.6%16 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd480…0242backed Over9c199.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.392821.4%6 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over6c189.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.939932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x208f…b41fbacked Over16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3011625.9%30 W · 86 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over8c186.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.512,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over14c178.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under75c170$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.132,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c75…c91fbacked Over13c163.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110737.4%40 W · 67 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe766…7843backed Under65c159.79$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6423645.3%107 W · 129 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over13c153.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.741,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over16c136$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.541,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Under77c127.41$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4377433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe64f…6cc3backed Under79c127.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.393756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over12c127$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.591,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed Under79c126.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.744032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a32…2fcdbacked Over8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-33.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf640…ca7ebacked Under80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-4.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.