TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,126
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,266

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,126 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under74c1,533$1,129 inWon+$403.131,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over9c667.04$60 inLost-$59.654,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over27c522$142 inLost-$141.563,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdcc…7c07backed Over25c400$100 inLost-$1005745.6%26 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Over22c399.96$88 inLost-$87.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under78c399.5$310 inWon+$89.151,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over27c370.37$100 inLost-$10028646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4acb…74fcbacked Over24c275.66$66 inLost-$667640.8%31 W · 45 L-7.3wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over26c264.12$69 inLost-$68.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under78c173.94$135 inWon+$38.533,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under76c167.82$128 inWon+$40.312,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under76c164$125 inWon+$39.362,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under73c158.31$115 inWon+$43.023,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under75c149.99$112 inWon+$37.51,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Over24c100$24 inLost-$245721.1%12 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-22.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x86fc…55ccbacked Over25c81.84$20 inLost-$20.4610335%36 W · 67 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe368…e9edbacked Over24c79.17$19 inLost-$1924935.3%88 W · 161 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dfe…6edabacked Over23c59.99$14 inLost-$14.14827.1%13 W · 35 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa4d4…ef77backed Over25c40.72$10 inLost-$108042.5%34 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ce1…6fc4backed Over25c40$10 inLost-$101464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae0…5989backed Over25c40$10 inLost-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9991…36b8backed Under76c30.79$23 inWon+$7.3919257.8%111 W · 81 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under78c25$20 inWon+$5.577051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under74c14.13$10 inWon+$3.671,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.