Fifa International · resolved market
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdab7fd547b4101a895470305bb7d947b0e5d9501b59bceb2c25c6fae3164c4d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 9c | 19,466$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b9…f378backed Over | 14c | 13,973$1,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.22 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18ec…8b90backed Over | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 7c | 6,843$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 13c | 3,030$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.75 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Over | 7c | 1,499$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.94 | 354 | 24%85 W · 269 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Over | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 10c | 1,170$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.39 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 5c | 813.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 14c | 619.6$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.74 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 5c | 599.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.31 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeff…e9abbacked Over | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 6c | 459.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 14c | 443.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 465 | 25.4%118 W · 347 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 14c | 381.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 7c | 363$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…e49abacked Over | 15c | 339.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66f4…9c4cbacked Over | 15c | 326.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 92 | 31.5%29 W · 63 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…d8debacked Over | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 14c | 189$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a83…f2edbacked Over | 14c | 185.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 14c | 169.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 143 | 17.5%25 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 15c | 150.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Over | 21c | 143.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…540fbacked Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4849…2e69backed Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a07…dc6cbacked Over | 20c | 126.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…f338backed Over | 18c | 111.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…9d80backed Over | 21c | 95.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…1818backed Over | 21c | 71.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Colombia (-2.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Colombia (-3.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Colombia (-4.5)Uzbekistan won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-1.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-2.5)Colombia won
- Spread: Uzbekistan (-3.5)Colombia won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 0.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 2.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5Under won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 6.5Under won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 7.5Under won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 8.5Under won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 0.5Over won
- Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.