TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x18ec…8b90

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
45
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT190%0 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kerim Alajbegović: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Tomáš Chorý: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
James Rodríguez: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Luis Suárez: 2+ goals + assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Luis Díaz: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
James Rodríguez: 2+ goals + assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Abbosbek Fayzullayev: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Uzbekistan O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Igor Matanović: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Morgan Rogers: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Benin win on 2026-06-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Algeria?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Slovakia leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 19 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.92
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on May 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)backed Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.95per pick5cpaid+1,900%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+1,900%+$228
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Melbourne City FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Andorra (-2.5)backed UD Las Palmas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.