Fifa International · resolved market
Will Benin win on 2026-06-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x246eaf6dab7700b0704834522659f48759716b40144acf88b2d13cf8353bf5de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,144
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,144 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 40c | 4,831$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 48c | 2,832$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.68 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 51c | 2,327$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.24 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18ec…8b90backed Yes | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 1,144$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.53 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked No | 10c | 977.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.17 | 226 | 39.4%89 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 41c | 907$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.21 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked No | 56c | 658.71$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.83 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 73c | 566.29$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.39 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 44c | 561.95$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.26 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 38c | 392.08$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.99 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 42c | 391$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.22 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 53c | 370.99$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.36 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 74c | 359.35$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.02 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 75c | 333.69$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.44 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 53c | 321.68$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 47c | 315.86$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.45 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 48c | 305.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -46.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 70c | 287.63$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.49 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 274.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.33 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…a3f4backed Yes | 51c | 273.23$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 54c | 261.15$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 43c | 244.4$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 46c | 195.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 26c | 181.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.97 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 36c | 164.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.45 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 53c | 154$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 55c | 149.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed Yes | 48c | 133.53$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 138 | 65.2%90 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x147d…7c03backed Yes | 75c | 133.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Yes | 38c | 132.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 76c | 130.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.65 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 52c | 124.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.96 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 48c | 121.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 42c | 109$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 465 | 62.2%289 W · 176 L | +42.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 41c | 102.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…28a6backed No | 52c | 98.2$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes | 45c | 89.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 27.2%70 W · 187 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 59c | 88.09$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe041…7154backed Yes | 77c | 86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 48c | 80.85$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 432 | 46.8%202 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb497…fa4dbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e9…4288backed No | 26c | 73.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 47c | 72.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Yes | 41c | 72.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 331 | 20.8%69 W · 262 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 18c | 70.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…bc8dbacked Yes | 76c | 67.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 72.9%97 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 34c | 55.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 275 | 38.5%106 W · 169 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 57c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Yes | 75c | 42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 150 | 59.3%89 W · 61 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 40c | 40.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 271 | 45.8%124 W · 147 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 63c | 39.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 311 | 49.5%154 W · 157 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Yes | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…a34abacked Yes | 40c | 36.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9355…038dbacked Yes | 75c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 30.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 242 | 57.9%140 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 53c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…59dbbacked Yes | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce3…c36cbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Yes | 43c | 23.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…dbe1backed Yes | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 161 | 57.8%93 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 53c | 19.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benin win on 2026-06-05?this page
- Will Benin vs. Niger end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Niger win on 2026-06-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.