Fifa International · resolved market
Will Niger win on 2026-06-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83e4264775705334a62bec332e571e91b09588b2014056da9e06a7af2f3dc029
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 76c | 3,926$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.11 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 8c | 1,600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 13c | 1,553$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.51 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 1,466$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.88 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 24c | 976.54$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.37 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 24c | 920.27$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.43 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc48…c120backed No | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 374 | 51.6%193 W · 181 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 23c | 524.25$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.23 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 75c | 326.2$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 210 | 46.7%98 W · 112 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 24c | 298.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 25c | 277.16$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed No | 77c | 202.5$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked No | 75c | 175$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 25c | 161.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 144.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 75c | 141.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 130.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 28c | 124.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 75c | 106.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 74c | 101.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 138 | 65.2%90 W · 48 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 75c | 88.91$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.92 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked No | 75c | 82.43$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +16.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked No | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 259 | 48.6%126 W · 133 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0a40backed Yes | 20c | 61.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 25c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Yes | 24c | 59.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 237 | 32.1%76 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…bc8dbacked Yes | 26c | 54.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 75c | 52.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Yes | 25c | 46.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 75c | 29.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 76c | 17.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 76c | 14.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Niger win on 2026-06-05?this page
- Will Benin vs. Niger end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Benin win on 2026-06-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.