Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9def4c91d2784875992793162c1f3fe20100426988c90b978180df00df5977d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 4c | 2,423$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec6…b6cebacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 19c | 853.85$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 58c | 782.84$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.59 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 28c | 708.64$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.92 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 16c | 627.16$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.22 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 48c | 597$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 46c | 565.75$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.53 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 65c | 518.49$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.5 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 20c | 485.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.31 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed No | 62c | 459.59$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.13 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 37c | 416.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 35c | 334.76$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.22 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed No | 77c | 321.88$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.21 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 60c | 318.27$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 56c | 311.14$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18ec…8b90backed No | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 15c | 291.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 14c | 274.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3d…d3e9backed Yes | 79c | 253.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 45c | 253.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.47 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 34c | 242.71$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.78 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 31c | 232.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.76 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 67c | 229.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.95 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 67c | 226.23$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 35c | 223.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.12 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 38c | 221$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f4…5f8abacked No | 12c | 216$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 33c | 215.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.6 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed No | 21c | 213.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 41c | 211.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 35c | 210$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.4 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 66c | 209.7$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 7c | 199.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 50c | 190.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed No | 10c | 186.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97d9…0dacbacked No | 7c | 178.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 19c | 175.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 35c | 175$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 64c | 174.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 80c | 162.5$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked No | 21c | 160.41$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d72…9461backed Yes | 58c | 160.31$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 33c | 157.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.25 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked Yes | 57c | 155.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 68c | 155.15$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.01 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 57c | 153.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.13 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed No | 64c | 149.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 68c | 147.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 60c | 146.48$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dce…1ae5backed No | 69c | 145.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.7wins | -0.36per pick | 60cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 37c | 144.75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.47 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 34c | 142.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.34 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 67c | 141.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 33c | 140.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.31 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 31c | 138.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 62c | 135.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 30c | 132$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 69c | 127.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.02 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…2ebbbacked Yes | 33c | 126.59$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 61c | 124.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.13 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 65c | 119.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.99 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked No | 15c | 117.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 37c | 116.91$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 30c | 113.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 16c | 106.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 46c | 106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…b3e4backed No | 35c | 105.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked No | 33c | 104.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 67c | 104.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 102.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.65 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 67c | 102$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.34 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 23c | 100.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa83c…a8f4backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7b…7a75backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 271 | 29.2%79 W · 192 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 32c | 99.93$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.95 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 96.84$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.15 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed Yes | 34c | 96.19$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…2db3backed Yes | 37c | 92.11$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 37c | 81.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 58c | 80.72$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a64…b0eabacked Yes | 31c | 79.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bf63backed No | 63c | 78.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.63 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 55c | 78.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked No | 21c | 76.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 67c | 76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 40c | 75.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 75.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 24c | 74.21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.76 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9159…f1a8backed Yes | 53c | 74.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 34c | 72.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 33c | 72.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 68c | 68.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.78 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 44c | 67.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.