Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2dbb368794c0eec8a9c206bc9675cca54688155d3e6ae142fe0e34013f258df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,433
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbef…6318backed Yes | 0c | 40,128$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x367c…8689backed Yes | 0c | 12,726$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…2750backed Yes | 16c | 999.04$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 880 | 28.9%254 W · 626 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 30c | 995.68$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.64 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 10c | 659.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed Yes | 10c | 527.04$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 430.81$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.99 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 12c | 277.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 17c | 269.45$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 11c | 239.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 8c | 231.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…02babacked Yes | 35c | 219.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 14c | 214.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x31af…5c86backed Yes | 25c | 202.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 318 | 36.8%117 W · 201 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 66c | 180.63$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.9 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 22c | 175$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec3…a081backed Yes | 12c | 169$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 175 | 24.6%43 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 33c | 158.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 19c | 157.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 152.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 141.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 31c | 134.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.01 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…914fbacked Yes | 24c | 126.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 31c | 112$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 13c | 109.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f9…1b7cbacked No | 78c | 106.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 11c | 106.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 886 | 28.9%256 W · 630 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…00b2backed Yes | 10c | 106$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 145 | 24.1%35 W · 110 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 71c | 104.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc55…522bbacked Yes | 29c | 102.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 178 | 31.5%56 W · 122 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c1…b087backed Yes | 14c | 100.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 162 | 20.4%33 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90e…03b6backed Yes | 23c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1,148 | 49.6%569 W · 579 L | -34.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 85.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 21c | 79.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 14c | 78.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 13c | 77.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 74c | 76$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d6…44bcbacked Yes | 22c | 75.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 31c | 75.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 70c | 68.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 69c | 68.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 77c | 67.52$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 26c | 63.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 67c | 62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 67c | 62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 67c | 61.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…b8efbacked No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 32c | 56.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 56.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 67c | 52.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 70c | 50.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 65c | 50.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 65c | 50.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8d…038bbacked No | 77c | 46.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 294 | 69.7%205 W · 89 L | +26.7wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 69c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 33c | 45.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 34c | 45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 24c | 41.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…453fbacked Yes | 29c | 40.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 31c | 39.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 39.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…8993backed No | 71c | 32.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…eceabacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 79c | 25.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…cceebacked No | 78c | 23.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 429 | 76.5%328 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 65c | 23.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 78c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 276 | 69.2%191 W · 85 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2132backed No | 72c | 22.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 714 | 64.3%459 W · 255 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef2…d233backed No | 78c | 22.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b8…d8cebacked No | 78c | 20.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.51 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…1c78backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…4328backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…ef1ebacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 65c | 19.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 79c | 19.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 67c | 17.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a9…dcf5backed No | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.