Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1c8ebc71af6f3c1e6b9bd91cf01dd55fe3d2e2d0aaf9b8d55bb8bcc070b1742
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,696
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 1c | 928.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 15c | 761.8$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.56 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 10c | 528.09$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 18c | 481.44$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 368.09$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 27c | 346.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08b1…f05bbacked Yes | 21c | 341.67$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 79c | 324.6$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…c68cbacked Yes | 31c | 323.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 22c | 310.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 259.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 17c | 258.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 221$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 66c | 219.62$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 71c | 209.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.89 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 69c | 202.48$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 200.54$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1104…1f70backed Yes | 26c | 199.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fb…b01bbacked Yes | 17c | 198.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 31c | 197.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.79 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 70c | 188.53$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.65 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 22c | 183.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 80c | 179.75$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 34c | 175.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 26c | 175$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 15c | 169.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 42c | 158$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 149.65$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed Yes | 31c | 147.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.73 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 78c | 141.3$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 17c | 118.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 48c | 113.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 111.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 80c | 104.04$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 71c | 101.24$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 28c | 99.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 31c | 99.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 73c | 98.35$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 16c | 96.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…500dbacked Yes | 17c | 94.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…a3d2backed Yes | 24c | 92.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 17c | 89.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fba…3adcbacked Yes | 17c | 86.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 19c | 85.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…c5aabacked Yes | 13c | 81.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…33b5backed No | 79c | 81.19$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 62 | 69.4%43 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e1…3fc9backed Yes | 29c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 67c | 76.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x215b…8ec5backed Yes | 22c | 75.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 153 | 34.6%53 W · 100 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 16c | 74.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 19c | 74.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 73.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 79c | 71.94$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 15c | 71.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 17c | 70.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bed…bf63backed Yes | 34c | 69.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 80c | 68.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 21c | 67.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 18c | 66.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 74c | 65.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd11…7a6cbacked Yes | 28c | 60.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 25c | 60.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 44c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 33c | 56.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b18…b5eebacked Yes | 30c | 53.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…4745backed Yes | 37c | 52.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 186 | 29.6%55 W · 131 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf576…a786backed No | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 376 | 69.4%261 W · 115 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 80c | 50.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…76a0backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…ec8ebacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…4331backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9008…09f0backed Yes | 31c | 48.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…d288backed No | 68c | 43.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 30c | 42.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f9…10d1backed Yes | 42c | 41.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd2…0d5dbacked No | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…0d5dbacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed No | 62c | 38.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ce…49e0backed Yes | 30c | 38.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 455 | 40%182 W · 273 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 44c | 38.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 29c | 35.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c54…02e9backed No | 69c | 34.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…537bbacked No | 62c | 32.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 34c | 32.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed No | 69c | 31.47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe35…57c3backed Yes | 44c | 31.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -16.9wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…b459backed No | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 381 | 46.5%177 W · 204 L | +19.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 70c | 29.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on June 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.