TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6854…67d0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
1,071
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Mls, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT61752.8%326 W · 291 L-1.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 617 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$12.81
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.73
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.08
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.09
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.94
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$23.06
Will June 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.37
Will June 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32.66
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+82%+$11.92
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.15
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$7.38
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$31.33
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+153.8%+$18.18
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Showing 25 of 617 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT6445.3%29 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bev Craig win the 2026 Greater Manchester mayoral election by 5–10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$3.5
Will Milakulo Tukumuli be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.68
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.34
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 10-15%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$119.99
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.87
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$18.17
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$9.97
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$6.18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.87
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$5.09
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$21.99
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+63.4%+$9.31
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$7.36
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.04
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$16.88
Will Anna De Gaio win the 2026 Castrovillari mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$12.84
Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$13.35
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.64
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+82.2%+$27.65
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+78.2%+$26.9
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$21.76
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+74.5%+$24.65
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$8.45
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Will Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+237%+$34.59
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Will FC Anyang vs. Bucheon FC 1995 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+137%+$21.1
Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Will Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Gamba Ōsaka vs. Vissel Kōbe end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$4.4
Will Gamba Ōsaka win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.75
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Will Shimizu S-Pulse win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.65
Will FC Seoul vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$8.73
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+246.6%+$25.13
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$116.76
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.35
Will Mirassol FC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$21.38
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.84
Will CF América win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$8.59
Will CF América vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.57
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+128.9%+$15.93
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$10.19
Will CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.38
Will Atlas FC vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$77.88
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.03
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$44.85
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.85
Will SE Palmeiras vs. Santos FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.41
Will EC Vitória vs. Coritiba FBC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.64
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+87.8%+$40.55
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. CA River Plate end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+52.1%+$35.28
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.29
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.13
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Club Nacional de Football end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.57
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Will CD Palestino vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT3250%16 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.3
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$35
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.7%+$56.96
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$37.4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.32
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+109.4%+$95.66
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.68
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+83.1%+$14.98
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$4.3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.75
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$49.37
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.42
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$9.08
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.53
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$82.3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$154.99
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.6
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$52.9
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2665.4%17 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+22.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Mls — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.54
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.55
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.27
Will New York City FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$32.78
Will New York City FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$42.32
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+48.9%+$105.53
Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.32
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+427.1%+$623.06
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+140.8%+$118.99
Will Chicago Fire FC vs. FC Cincinnati end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+55%+$110.48
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.35
Will Atlanta United FC vs. CF Montréal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$22.62
Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.86
Will New England Revolution vs. Charlotte FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$96.54
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.05
Will Columbus Crew vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+27.1%+$8.82
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Will FC Dallas win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.56
Will New York Red Bulls vs. FC Dallas end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$13.95
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+231.9%+$365.32
Will Inter Miami CF vs. Orlando City SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$128.1
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$48.06
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. Seattle Sounders FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.32
Will Toronto FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.9
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+45%+$43.98
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$105.02
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.9
Will Manchester City win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.19
Will Chelsea win the 2025-2026 FA Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$97.97
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$563Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$173.13
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$130.15
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$371.27
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+26.5%+$5.23
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.97
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$8.08
Aston Villa FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.88
Tottenham Hotspur FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.04
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.8
Will Brentford FC vs. West Ham United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$27.47
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$3.11
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$73.65
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$167.6
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.96
Will Hull City AFC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+34.1%+$24.2
Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24.15
Will Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.62
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by at least 25%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$16.71
Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+77.4%+$15.21
Will April McClain Delaney be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.55
Will Micah Lasher be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.96
Will David Trone be the Democratic nominee for MD-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.17
Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.77
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.13
Will Beth Davidson be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$10
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+221.9%+$82.31
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$25.48
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$36.25
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.47
Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.73
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.63
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate advance to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.53
Will both candidates advancing to the general election for Governor of California from the June 2, 2026 primary be affiliated with the Democratic Party?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$21.02
Will James Settelmeyer be the Republican nominee for NV-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$9.27
Will Maurice Washington be the Republican nominee for SC-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$5.11
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$56.85
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.35
Will Ala Stanford be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.1%+$8.16
Will Denise Powell be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
All 23 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.5
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$12.9
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
Will ByteDance have the #2 AI model at the end of June 2026 (Style Control On)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$20.88
Will Mistral have the second best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.3
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.46
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$87.17
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+129%+$64.67
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.11
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.38
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$7.21
Will there be 4 or more ChatGPT outages in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$4.99
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.63
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.57
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+84.1%+$28.3
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$10.95
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$17.3
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32.32
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $950B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+29%+$47.7
All 21 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kayserispor vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.54
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
Will SC Heerenveen win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.67
Will NEC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+324.1%+$92.21
Will NEC vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.25
Will AFC Ajax vs. PSV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+128.8%+$77.97
Will FC Famalicão vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.13
Will Trabzonspor vs. Göztepe SK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+52.8%+$7.12
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+61.9%+$18.8
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.71
Will FC Utrecht win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.01
Will Moreirense FC vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+94%+$31.44
Will CF Estrela da Amadora win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$25.45
Will Brøndby IF vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.79
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Beşiktaş JK end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$21.92
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will Çaykur Rizespor win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.03
Will Konyaspor win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.1
All 21 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+48.4%+$43.98
Will SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.24
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$7.83
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$6.55
Will Hannover 96 vs. SC Preußen Münster end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.74
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$22.95
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$18.53
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.16
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.29
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$33.99
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$18.56
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+87%+$27.37
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.39
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+157.2%+$341.76
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.06
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.27
Will TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$43.82
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$8.69
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.06
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$152.26
All 20 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$19.34
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.63
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.2%+$84.27
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.36
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.67
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 48m and 52m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+42.7%+$23.32
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.11
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.31
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$14.01
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$9.08
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.37
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+210.3%+$78.56
Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$20.37
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.71
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mexico be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will Canada be the furthest advancing host nation at the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.23
Will Argentina be the highest-scoring team in Group J during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.31
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Will Scotland be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Will Scotland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$27.5
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 England?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.84
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+58.2%+$27.49
Exact Score: New Zealand 1 - 3 Belgium?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+25%+$14.4
Will Panama finish last in Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Croatia to score first vs. Panama?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$16.15
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.85
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$16.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.65
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$106.61
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.83
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.54
Will Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa vs. Cádiz CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.23
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.36
Will Villarreal CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$25.34
Will Girona FC vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$13.33
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.16
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$20.95
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$58.35
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.51
Will Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$73.24
Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Draw at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.69
Will OGC Nice win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$66.41
Will OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.15
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$182.6
Will FC Metz vs. AS Monaco FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+34.9%+$23.72
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.62
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.97
Will FC Nantes vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+43.8%+$15.76
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.35
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.07
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the Billboard Hot 100 #2 song for the week of July 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$14.42
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.71
Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.96
Will "Billie Jean - Michael Jackson" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$13.55
Will "I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+157.6%+$31.8
Will Greece win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$48.21
Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+138%+$74.65
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$37.23
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.7
Will Hannah Harper win American Idol Season 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.02
Will "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be between 350k and 375k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.61
All 12 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.19
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$28.22
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.89
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.6%+$14.28
Will the 2026 NBA Finals be tied 2-2 through 4 games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$9.81
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 through 4 games?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+41%+$13.59
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.47
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 Western Conference Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+243.9%+$35.42
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+142.2%+$27.99
All 9 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wyndham Clark win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Will Sam Burns win the 2026 U.S. Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$30.39
Will Aaron Rai lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$14.35
Will Joaquin Niemann lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the first round?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$7.64
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$14.52
Will JT Poston win the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.49
Will Eric Cole win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$27.75
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.26
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.57
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick62cpaid+50.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RED Canids win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.32
Will LOUD win CBLOL 2026 Split 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$7.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aurora to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
L1ga Team to win 2-0?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wesley So win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+55.5%+$8.21
Will Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.6%+$29.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.