World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6380f4e5eee958660b4d645331b4799738a261b474a011f49021b62f0064964b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,637
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,637 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf11c…680abacked No | 3c | 816.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 37c | 636.84$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.71 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 61c | 561.85$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.63 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 47c | 528.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 45c | 501.95$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.91 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 77c | 448.76$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.15 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 23c | 430.74$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 64c | 376$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 22c | 338.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 337.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 48c | 336.19$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 24c | 336.17$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 293.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.29 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 36c | 262.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.12 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 22c | 258$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf045…c619backed Yes | 66c | 255.64$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 70c | 233.26$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.87 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 35c | 194.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 60c | 193.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.21 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 30c | 183.24$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b01backed No | 62c | 170.92$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 49c | 165$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 23c | 162.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 35c | 144.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.21 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 63c | 141.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.38 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 64c | 140.78$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.64 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 30c | 131.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.88 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 21c | 130.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 62c | 127.18$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 57c | 127.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 64c | 124$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 22c | 123.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 41c | 121.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b2c4backed Yes | 79c | 119.05$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 31c | 114.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 64c | 114.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed4…7a7dbacked Yes | 76c | 112.64$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 65c | 110.2$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 61c | 105.27$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 38c | 102.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.28 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 61c | 99.97$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.98 | 132 | 68.9%91 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 40c | 98.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 78c | 97.64$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9a…587ebacked Yes | 47c | 92.14$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 35cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 35c | 91.15$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.25 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 30c | 88.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 56c | 86.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…a29ebacked Yes | 51c | 86.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 36c | 84.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 19c | 83.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 37c | 83.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 54c | 82.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 32c | 78.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 79c | 75.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…0cc4backed No | 61c | 74.5$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 54c | 74.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…c8edbacked No | 35c | 73.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 66c | 70.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 60c | 70$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 33c | 69.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 56c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 66.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.14 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked Yes | 33c | 66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc3…3472backed No | 58c | 62.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed Yes | 66c | 62.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 65c | 59.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 157 | 66.2%104 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 59.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.69 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked No | 35c | 59.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 80c | 59.49$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.9 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe775…01d2backed Yes | 76c | 59.32$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…f8bcbacked Yes | 51c | 59.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52e7…e3b4backed Yes | 42c | 59.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +219%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34dd…7961backed No | 65c | 57.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 39c | 57.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 72c | 57.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 45c | 55.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 55.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49c…3bb4backed Yes | 38c | 55.17$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked Yes | 66c | 55.09$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecc…c745backed No | 48c | 54.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 64c | 52.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 37c | 51.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae99…2ed5backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…3e60backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 37c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 58c | 49.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 38c | 48.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.72 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 56c | 47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 48c | 46.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 44c | 45.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.