World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fc667d140a853caea899f60720944968cf840c7a32906403bc41c25ac7f65ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 27c | 2,641$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.12 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 20c | 676.71$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.49 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 528.3$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.13 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…53cbbacked Yes | 21c | 441.27$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 420.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 79c | 368.48$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 17c | 357.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 22c | 350.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 327.37$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.76 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 11c | 281.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…932abacked Yes | 19c | 270$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 21c | 265.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…e555backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 248.54$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 12c | 243.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 230 | 44.8%103 W · 127 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 18c | 220.18$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed Yes | 8c | 209.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 23c | 209$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…cd1dbacked Yes | 20c | 202$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…bbaabacked Yes | 23c | 201.72$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 80c | 199.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 20c | 199.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 78c | 198.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 76c | 198.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed No | 80c | 197.5$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8283…a336backed No | 77c | 195.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ddd…7996backed No | 77c | 187.83$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 75c | 186.07$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 80c | 181$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 23c | 173.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 170.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 18c | 166$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 9c | 150.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 21c | 150$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 79c | 148.88$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 14c | 141.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 7c | 140.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 19c | 138$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 20c | 137.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 23c | 131.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 23c | 119.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 80c | 118.98$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 17c | 117.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 117.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 16c | 115.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…e2e3backed Yes | 26c | 115.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 87 | 36.8%32 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 70c | 114.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.92 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 76c | 114.79$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…266cbacked No | 74c | 112.23$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ed…6d6ebacked Yes | 29c | 104.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c1…b2eebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed No | 77c | 99.96$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…4e32backed Yes | 42c | 97.95$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdd…0872backed No | 80c | 95.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 77c | 88.71$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 73c | 80.96$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d6…d072backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 18c | 79.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x082d…a226backed Yes | 18c | 79.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 78c | 77.26$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…a773backed Yes | 20c | 75.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 75c | 72.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee0…28d5backed No | 70c | 71.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eec…c8edbacked No | 74c | 71.47$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c33…38c9backed Yes | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 19c | 69.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…6423backed No | 70c | 69.01$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 79c | 68.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 74c | 66.64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 19c | 65.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 28c | 64.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 79c | 59.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 23c | 58.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…f36fbacked Yes | 24c | 56.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 21c | 55.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858b…a2cebacked Yes | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 71c | 54.61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…806ebacked Yes | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…2bd6backed Yes | 25c | 50.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…cc97backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33e8…dc93backed Yes | 23c | 49.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 80c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 75c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x859c…6eafbacked Yes | 26c | 44.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 27c | 41.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…7171backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 39.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1195…e17fbacked Yes | 28c | 39.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c8…b823backed No | 79c | 37.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 76c | 36.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 75c | 34.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…3144backed No | 76c | 33.71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 186 | 69.4%129 W · 57 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a85…651fbacked No | 78c | 29.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 75c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on June 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on June 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.