TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x22a4…13e5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
425
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: AI, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category AI at 58 out of 100; worst Commodities at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT8543.5%37 W · 48 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Columbus Air Quality Index below 100 by July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.85
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.2
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.49
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.94
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.5
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.39
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.91
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$26.8
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$22.26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$34.11
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$37.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$18.96
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT4443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Guy Den Ouden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$511.02
Vicenza: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.01
Roland Garros ATP: Sebastian Ofner vs Luciano Darderibacked Sebastian Ofner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.5
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$286
Roland Garros ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.46
Roland Garros ATP: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Leheckabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$45.95
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Qinwen Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$711Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$711.42
Cervia: Moise Kouame vs Jacopo Vasamibacked Jacopo Vasami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$490.98
Bengaluru 3: Kuan-Yi Lee vs Kriish Tyagibacked Kriish Tyagi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$411Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$591.18
Bengaluru 3: Maximus Jones vs Sasikumar Mukundbacked Maximus Jones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$701.4
Hamburg European Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.97
Istanbul: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Yannick Alexandrescoubacked Pol Martin Tiffon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$72.75
Istanbul: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdobacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$47.26
Hamburg European Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Max Schoenhausbacked Max Schoenhaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.07
Geneva Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Julia Grabherbacked Jil Teichmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$20.42
Hamburg European Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.63
Oeiras 4: Petr Brunclik vs Jaime Fariabacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$761.52
Valencia: Alejandro Tabilo vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$126.4
Zagreb: Matej Dodig vs August Holmgrenbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.73
Tunis: Laurent Lokoli vs Federico Agustin Gomezbacked Federico Agustin Gomez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$572.84
Oeiras 4: Roman Safiullin vs Laslo Djerebacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$550.55
Oeiras 4: Tomas Barrios vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Nishesh Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.64
Zagreb: Thiago Monteiro vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$58.83
Oeiras 4: Tiago Pereira vs Emilio Navabacked Tiago Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT4346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+111.7%+$26.38
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.2
Will T1 Outperform BLG at MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.99
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Top Esports Challenger (BO3) - Asia Masters Last Chance Qualifierbacked Saigon Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
LoL: Solary vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$29.83
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Cbacked WLGaming Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Dbacked Anubis Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$29.32
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$25.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$276.1
Game Handicap: G2N (-1.5) vs Partizan Sangal (+1.5)backed G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190.76
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.59
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$30
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+525%+$77.34
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.83
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125.5
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$26.49
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$33.72
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$26.4
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.44
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$235.47
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$12
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT3545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+625.6%+$99.15
Will Spirit Qualify to The 2026 Blast Bounty Season 2 Online Stage 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.13
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will G2 reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Will MOUZ reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.36
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$351Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$150.6
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$9.61
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs BIG (+3.5)backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$98.06
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.54
Map Handicap: MNTE (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$296Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$295.87
Will FUT qualify to Stage 3 at IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.6
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$198.44
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs 1WIN (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$51.16
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked ex-Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.89
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$104
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.61
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.02
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.45
Counter-Strike: magic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.41
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$240.48
Counter-Strike: 9z vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.99
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.51
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs Just Players (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked Just Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$90.37
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagebacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$121.05
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs ALGO Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked ALGO Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.58
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT3243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+134.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$23.51
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$30.63
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.8
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$42
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+159.3%+$325.57
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$154
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.7
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$111.12
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$248.16
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.6%+$172
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+415.3%+$736.14
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+4,487.2%+$489.1
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$130.4
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-6.6wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-50.6%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Commodities — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $55 Week of August 3 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$114
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.99
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.6
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on June 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$334Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$333.5
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 29?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.5
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$212
Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.63
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.99
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$42.9
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 4 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.94
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on May 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.3
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+491.7%+$830.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.51
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$162
Will the announcers say "Set Piece" 5+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$10.08
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$31.75
Will the announcers say "Ref" or "Referee" 10+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.11
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.2
Will the announcers say "Save" or "Saves" 5+ times during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Will the announcers say "Hattrick" or "Hat Trick" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
Will the announcers say "Qatar" or "Russia" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will the announcers say "Extra Time" during the Canada vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.79
Will Argentina be the highest-scoring team in Group J during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$18.23
Will Spain be the highest-scoring team in Group H during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+29.4%+$10.52
Will Qatar be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$10.89
Will Switzerland be the highest-scoring team in Group B during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Will the announcers say "Foul" 20+ times during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Croatia FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.34
Will Rafael Leão be in Portugal's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will Lautaro Martínez be in Argentina's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.5
Will Romelu Lukaku be in Belgium's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8.4
Will Marcos Llorente be in Spain's Starting 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will Bart Verbruggen be in Netherlands's Starting 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$282
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.95
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifierbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.7
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$313.72
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.28
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$92.13
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$323.19
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.95
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.88
Dota 2: GLYPH vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.19
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.21
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$541Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$540.6
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200.4
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$110.48
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.8
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$185.24
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$190.38
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$175.03
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.41
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110.22
Dota 2: Aurora vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$168
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$371Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130.52
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group Abacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.12
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tweets — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.28
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+232.2%+$76.89
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+116.5%+$26.9
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 26 to February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+240.1%+$62.78
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.14
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+233.3%+$35
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+95.7%+$9.61
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 16 to February 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
All 21 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.56
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will turnout in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$34.32
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.48
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40.26
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$19.8
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$14.04
Will Lorenzo Radice win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Will Mario Almici win the 2026 Legnano mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will Pasquale Mauri win the 2026 Angri mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$9.75
Will Pasquale Del Prete win the 2026 Frattamaggiore mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Tisza win at least 120 seats?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$65
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$65
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) finish with the second-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$70
All 20 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+72.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.6
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Micron Q3 NAND revenue be above $8.0B?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.9
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$19.79
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$87
Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1480+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1500+?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$152
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+261.7%+$72.35
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+307.6%+$64.46
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 14 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Vitality win Valorant Masters London 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Valorant: LOUD vs Sentinels (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+203%+$335.67
Valorant: Nova Esports vs TYLOO (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.03
Valorant: All Gamers vs TEC Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$380.76
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.24
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.44
Valorant: Nova Esports vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked KeepBest Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.4
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 1backed Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$258.06
Valorant: VARREL vs Team Secret (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1backed VARREL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$131.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick35cpaid+96.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-3.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movieslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+138.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$581.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$521.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Club Universitario de Deportes (-1.5)backed Club Universitario de Deportes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.