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Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$509,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$558,900

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec92…6b59backed Natus Vincere5c71,104$3,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,660.7316511.5%19 W · 146 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+70.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Natus Vincere26c40,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,399.9514247.2%67 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere25c26,532$6,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,761.721,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Karmine Corp74c20,673$15,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,430.525243.7%110 W · 142 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a88…4c59backed Karmine Corp74c20,270$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,270.274156.1%23 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere5c13,320$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.911,42838.4%548 W · 880 L-42.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked Karmine Corp74c12,957$9,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,368.8918961.4%116 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae69…6e71backed Natus Vincere3c12,733$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.8611521.7%25 W · 90 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere26c12,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1205242.3%22 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Karmine Corp73c11,524$8,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,111.543542.5%185 W · 250 L+19.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere9c10,083$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931.721,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe752…2200backed Natus Vincere0c10,000$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151543.9%6 W · 148 L-0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-87%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0a5…518abacked Natus Vincere12c6,666$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.921020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Karmine Corp75c6,019$4,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,532.7834651.2%177 W · 169 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Natus Vincere27c6,000$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6209853.1%52 W · 46 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Natus Vincere24c5,589$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.4521144.5%94 W · 117 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Karmine Corp76c5,324$4,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.4425668.4%175 W · 81 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Natus Vincere7c5,237$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9832755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30016454.9%90 W · 74 L+14.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Karmine Corp74c5,000$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,30067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Natus Vincere26c5,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30044550.1%223 W · 222 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere14c5,000$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.551,47429%427 W · 1,047 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Natus Vincere8c4,034$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.621,24439.7%494 W · 750 L-69.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere22c3,589$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78676030.3%230 W · 530 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Natus Vincere26c3,557$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$918.8132534.8%113 W · 212 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6d…7294backed Natus Vincere20c3,467$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7105742.1%24 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Natus Vincere27c3,336$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.573540%14 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked Natus Vincere19c3,062$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.4649541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf024…fbd3backed Natus Vincere12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36016546.7%77 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere11c2,786$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.582,36731.9%756 W · 1,611 L+41.4wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Karmine Corp75c2,676$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.6730360.7%184 W · 119 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Karmine Corp76c2,530$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.0717647.7%84 W · 92 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Natus Vincere22c2,500$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5503732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Natus Vincere26c2,500$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9929952.2%156 W · 143 L+13.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed Karmine Corp74c2,455$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.314562.2%28 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Karmine Corp74c2,330$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.731,32038.6%510 W · 810 L-66.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2f7…4899backed Karmine Corp74c2,319$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.923850%19 W · 19 L-7.2wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-31.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xff93…1239backed Karmine Corp74c2,316$1,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.162040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Natus Vincere26c2,310$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.632941%135 W · 194 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked Natus Vincere17c2,266$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.7153139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ed…def4backed Natus Vincere3c2,083$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Natus Vincere2c2,045$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.131,09834.8%382 W · 716 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf268…960fbacked Karmine Corp77c2,031$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.2547453.4%253 W · 221 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Natus Vincere1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Karmine Corp73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5406434.4%22 W · 42 L-5.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Karmine Corp76c1,996$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.0812260.7%74 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x790e…b82dbacked Natus Vincere24c1,985$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.43250%16 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23d8…f6b9backed Karmine Corp76c1,854$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.427865.8%183 W · 95 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Natus Vincere27c1,832$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere2c1,824$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.491,52550.6%771 W · 754 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x254b…e8abbacked Karmine Corp74c1,791$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.64231%13 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Karmine Corp74c1,754$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.0537640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed Natus Vincere7c1,746$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.996410.9%7 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick11cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Karmine Corp76c1,633$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1990937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Karmine Corp74c1,443$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.2413130.5%40 W · 91 L-13.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ba8…d72bbacked Karmine Corp74c1,400$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36417659.7%105 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74a8…df59backed Karmine Corp74c1,396$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.0436334.4%125 W · 238 L-21.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere25c1,396$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34928253.5%151 W · 131 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664e…e82abacked Karmine Corp74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3515267.1%102 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa7…db93backed Karmine Corp76c1,321$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31723674.6%176 W · 60 L+17.9wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere13c1,318$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.522,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8f8…891cbacked Karmine Corp74c1,260$932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.62254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Natus Vincere26c1,258$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.9952848.9%258 W · 270 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Natus Vincere3c1,251$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4656432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dbd…4476backed Karmine Corp76c1,230$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3125853.5%138 W · 120 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1237…06afbacked Karmine Corp74c1,165$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+56%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa884…46a8backed Natus Vincere26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda14…1c2dbacked Natus Vincere5c1,108$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbbb…3df5backed Karmine Corp76c1,100$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26430251.3%155 W · 147 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a1b…722abacked Karmine Corp75c1,058$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.432250%11 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa5b…7650backed Natus Vincere16c1,050$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.894156.1%23 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+27.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4d1f…6465backed Karmine Corp75c1,022$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.43862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed Karmine Corp73c1,008$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.212871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Natus Vincere27c1,007$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.286144.1%380 W · 481 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Karmine Corp74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26037647.9%180 W · 196 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Karmine Corp75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25034868.4%238 W · 110 L+23.5wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Natus Vincere26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82af…f7d1backed Karmine Corp74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Karmine Corp73c985.81$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.0224643.1%106 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c5…4ff4backed Natus Vincere3c962.4$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308732.2%28 W · 59 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Karmine Corp79c933$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.71,09147.4%517 W · 574 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Natus Vincere21c929.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0458420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xea1c…921bbacked Natus Vincere24c910.5$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Natus Vincere24c880.99$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.4414352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x824b…8386backed Karmine Corp80c878.96$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9617457.5%100 W · 74 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc50c…3017backed Karmine Corp73c858.58$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-54.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa644…026ebacked Karmine Corp73c845.61$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.312556%14 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdaec…086abacked Karmine Corp76c835.39$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.494953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Natus Vincere25c834.2$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8548742.3%206 W · 281 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Natus Vincere27c810.59$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.865451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Natus Vincere25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017439.1%68 W · 106 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Karmine Corp79c776.95$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.851,26542.8%541 W · 724 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2c…5172backed Natus Vincere27c774.07$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20943640.6%177 W · 259 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Natus Vincere23c773.74$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.9615046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Natus Vincere27c764.41$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.391631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Natus Vincere27c750$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.526729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224b…8927backed Karmine Corp75c749.99$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.542050.5%212 W · 208 L+27.9wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac4…5890backed Karmine Corp78c724.5$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.561384.6%11 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick69cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Natus Vincere27c723.46$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.392842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp76c722.25$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.861,93942.2%819 W · 1,120 L-46.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.