Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7685456c8163d4d3741592b1b12e80a0b33a03ba7087c5706cbb83ed15379338
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $509,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $558,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $509,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 71,104$3,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,660.73 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 40,000$10,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,399.95 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 26,532$6,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,761.72 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 20,673$15,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,430.5 | 252 | 43.7%110 W · 142 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…4c59backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 20,270$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,270.27 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 13,320$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.91 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 12,957$9,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,368.89 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae69…6e71backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 12,733$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.86 | 115 | 21.7%25 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 12,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 11,524$8,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111.5 | 435 | 42.5%185 W · 250 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 10,083$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.72 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 10,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 154 | 3.9%6 W · 148 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a5…518abacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 6,666$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 6,019$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.78 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd58…18f9backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 5,589$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.45 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 5,324$4,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.44 | 256 | 68.4%175 W · 81 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 5,237$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 164 | 54.9%90 W · 74 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 5,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 445 | 50.1%223 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 5,000$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.55 | 1,474 | 29%427 W · 1,047 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 4,034$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.62 | 1,244 | 39.7%494 W · 750 L | -69.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 3,589$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786 | 760 | 30.3%230 W · 530 L | -20.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 3,557$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.81 | 325 | 34.8%113 W · 212 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…7294backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 3,467$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 3,336$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.57 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 3,062$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.46 | 495 | 41.6%206 W · 289 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf024…fbd3backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 2,786$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.58 | 2,367 | 31.9%756 W · 1,611 L | +41.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5409…79dbbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 2,676$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.67 | 303 | 60.7%184 W · 119 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 2,530$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.07 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 2,500$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 2,455$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.31 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 2,330$1,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.73 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f7…4899backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 2,319$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.92 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -7.2wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…1239backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 2,316$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 2,310$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.6 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 2,266$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.71 | 531 | 39.9%212 W · 319 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ed…def4backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 2,083$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 2,045$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 2,031$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.25 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e947backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,996$1,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.08 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…b82dbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,985$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.4 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,854$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 278 | 65.8%183 W · 95 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,832$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,824$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 1,525 | 50.6%771 W · 754 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,791$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,754$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.05 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 1,746$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 64 | 10.9%7 W · 57 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,633$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.19 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,443$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.24 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba8…d72bbacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,400$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,396$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.04 | 363 | 34.4%125 W · 238 L | -21.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,396$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…e82abacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 152 | 67.1%102 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,321$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 236 | 74.6%176 W · 60 L | +17.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 1,318$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.52 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…891cbacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,260$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,258$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.99 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 1,251$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…4476backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,230$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.31 | 258 | 53.5%138 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…06afbacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,165$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +56%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…46a8backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…1c2dbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 1,108$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…3df5backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,100$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1b…722abacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,058$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.43 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,050$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.89 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1f…6465backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,022$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.43 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 1,008$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.21 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 1,007$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.2 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…22d9backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 348 | 68.4%238 W · 110 L | +23.5wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82af…f7d1backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 985.81$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.02 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c5…4ff4backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 962.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Karmine Corp | 79c | 933$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.7 | 1,091 | 47.4%517 W · 574 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 929.98$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.04 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea1c…921bbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 910.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 880.99$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed Karmine Corp | 80c | 878.96$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.96 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…3017backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 858.58$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa644…026ebacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 845.61$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.31 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…086abacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 835.39$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.49 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 834.2$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.85 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 810.59$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.86 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 39.1%68 W · 106 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 776.95$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.85 | 1,265 | 42.8%541 W · 724 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 774.07$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 773.74$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.96 | 150 | 46%69 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 764.41$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.39 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 750$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.5 | 267 | 29.2%78 W · 189 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 749.99$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac4…5890backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 724.5$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.56 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 69cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Natus Vincere | 27c | 723.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.39 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 722.25$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.86 | 1,939 | 42.2%819 W · 1,120 L | -46.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffsthis page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.