Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x078c4bdb148cec346db2351a486552cfc2dcacae33ad88874b1e1b42431f1ea5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $284,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $284,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 240 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 45,466$31,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,490.19 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 36,076$10,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,470.23 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 18,296$5,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,771.62 | 1,200 | 54.1%649 W · 551 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 17,656$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.16 | 165 | 11.5%19 W · 146 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 14,139$4,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000.69 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 12,745$3,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,472.45 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 12,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 8,506$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.16 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…04a8backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 7,360$5,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,971.01 | 399 | 64.4%257 W · 142 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 6,187$4,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,833.77 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 5,683$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.67 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 5,107$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.18 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 4,430$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.44 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 4,415$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.87 | 162 | 58%94 W · 68 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 4,117$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.93 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 4,000$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.09 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 22c | 3,963$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.31 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 3,941$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.29 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 3,250$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.5 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 3,088$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.52 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 2,897$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.08 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa980…30a1backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 2,645$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 441 | 20%88 W · 353 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 2,500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3818…9797backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 2,470$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 579 | 57.9%335 W · 244 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…c45dbacked Natus Vincere | 25c | 2,376$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.73 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29e6…3365backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 2,213$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.41 | 253 | 68.4%173 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 2,157$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.93 | 364 | 60.2%219 W · 145 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 2,119$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.4 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 2,053$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.83 | 1,259 | 37.6%473 W · 786 L | +34.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 2,044$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.08 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…c838backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 1,985$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 1,883$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.32 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…53f0backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 1,375$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.66 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 154 | 3.9%6 W · 148 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,210$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.28 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 1,203$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.12 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.88 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,190$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 1,152$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.35 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,130$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 1,119$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.1 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3a…130ebacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 215 | 23.3%50 W · 165 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…2af9backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 1,059$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.5 | 166 | 36.1%60 W · 106 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,053$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 1,045$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.31 | 129 | 53.5%69 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,017$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.44 | 478 | 38.7%185 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,010$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.29 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 660 | 59.8%395 W · 265 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…71d0backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 999$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…3393backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 907.62$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.27 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ced…0feebacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 906.25$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 769 | 55%423 W · 346 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 888$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.52 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 871.13$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 864$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.72 | 241 | 37.8%91 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 850$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 849.98$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 848.08$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.1 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 841.49$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.03 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 828.93$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.1 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Karmine Corp | 78c | 823.41$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 664 | 58%385 W · 279 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 816.41$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.91 | 145 | 55.2%80 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 814$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.48 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc177…7fbbbacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 800.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…b630backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 800$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 800$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Natus Vincere | 14c | 799.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 797.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 757.96$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.24 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 757.26$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.32 | 215 | 59.5%128 W · 87 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…4e30backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 695.6$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 659.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Natus Vincere | 28c | 650$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 600$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7e…3b4fbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 553.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…d6eabacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 547.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 545$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9e6cbacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 531.73$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.12 | 186 | 55.9%104 W · 82 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Natus Vincere | 33c | 515.75$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 1,007 | 48.2%485 W · 522 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 504$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 499.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 499.99$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…afb0backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 499.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 499.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 493.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.66 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…5172backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 482.86$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…0716backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 477.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 470.91$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.91 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 469.45$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 573 | 49.4%283 W · 290 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 462.5$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.5 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4b…0b44backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 459.07$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.54 | 424 | 55%233 W · 191 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…9141backed Natus Vincere | 22c | 445$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 442.38$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.11 | 386 | 55.2%213 W · 173 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3621…3c9fbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 438.15$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.68 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…5aaebacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 408.22$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 395.22$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 390$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.