Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98d6e83e53deade84aa2fa9e1072601a716ad4bbed0d258e4cb78ab687b19c0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,760
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 21,773$4,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,514.81 | 481 | 57.6%277 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 20,192$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675.12 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 16,372$12,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,007.01 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 27c | 12,077$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,202.46 | 309 | 45.3%140 W · 169 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 7,505$5,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.13 | 903 | 48.4%437 W · 466 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 6,250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 154 | 3.9%6 W · 148 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -87%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 5,901$4,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.28 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 5,194$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.88 | 1,156 | 49.1%568 W · 588 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 5,153$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 4,900$3,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 4,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 572 | 46%263 W · 309 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96f7…d6aebacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 3,930$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.14 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…d698backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 3,535$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.02 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…8a71backed Natus Vincere | 10c | 3,240$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 479 | 33.6%161 W · 318 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 3,152$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.4 | 603 | 54.7%330 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 3,081$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.3 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 3,042$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.66 | 364 | 60.2%219 W · 145 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36ad…2267backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 2,847$1,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.1 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 2,750$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…f510backed Natus Vincere | 32c | 2,500$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 2,499$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 756 | 30%227 W · 529 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Karmine Corp | 73c | 2,352$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.75 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 592 | 0%0 W · 592 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 1,991$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.6 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,894$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 475 | 33.3%158 W · 317 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…2079backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,854$1,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.98 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…6664backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 1,842$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.43 | 288 | 59%170 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…b630backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 1,800$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677d…53f0backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 1,785$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.07 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 1,639$1,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.29 | 453 | 66%299 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…135fbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 531 | 39.9%212 W · 319 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Natus Vincere | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 230 | 20%46 W · 184 L | -17.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 1,500$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | -12.6wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 1,450$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.04 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Natus Vincere | 17c | 1,435$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.7 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470c…2af9backed Natus Vincere | 8c | 1,216$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 166 | 36.1%60 W · 106 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,200$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 1,028$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.7 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 992.38$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.14 | 588 | 50.5%297 W · 291 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 950$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 921$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.51 | 558 | 44.6%249 W · 309 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Natus Vincere | 28c | 899.98$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.99 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 895.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 869.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | +11.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Karmine Corp | 76c | 835.98$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.64 | 189 | 53.4%101 W · 88 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 800$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 797.3$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.3 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7829…cfd3backed Natus Vincere | 31c | 750.87$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.77 | 287 | 34.1%98 W · 189 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 750$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 645 | 53.3%344 W · 301 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 730$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 334 | 56%187 W · 147 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…4a1cbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 715.7$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…1388backed Natus Vincere | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Natus Vincere | 4c | 649.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,517 | 3.3%50 W · 1,467 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 648.97$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14d…45d1backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 631.58$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 135 | 49.6%67 W · 68 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 602.33$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee3d…b718backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 599.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 14.3%7 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…0716backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 556.02$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 546.15$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 539$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 538.66$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.6 | 414 | 69.3%287 W · 127 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…e268backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 232 | 41.4%96 W · 136 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…c253backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 445.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 442$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb8…46d2backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a0…87e7backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 426$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 413$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 960 | 54.2%520 W · 440 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…8273backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,294 | 26.6%344 W · 950 L | +65.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc04…f726backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 757 | 38.6%292 W · 465 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 400$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e1…165bbacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 400$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…4d4ebacked Natus Vincere | 16c | 399.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 386.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.84 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…3ec4backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 385.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.35 | 1,545 | 43.7%675 W · 870 L | -18.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Natus Vincere | 25c | 380$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2093…fc4ebacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 361.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a5…534cbacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 357.31$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 207 | 39.1%81 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…3fabbacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 351.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.43 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 350$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 603 | 47.9%289 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Natus Vincere | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 300$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 284.48$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Natus Vincere | 11c | 270.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 522 | 52.5%274 W · 248 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc177…7fbbbacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 251$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 164 | 29.9%49 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked Natus Vincere | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…521bbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 70 | 10%7 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa469…0782backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 249.99$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 1,322 | 53.2%703 W · 619 L | +36.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 201.57$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b7…fbcfbacked Natus Vincere | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 273 | 67%183 W · 90 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 WinnerKarmine Corp won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.