TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36a7…4d4e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
232
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst Us Politics at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT18732.1%60 W · 127 L+9.8wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 187 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.32
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.3
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$210
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$148
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$130
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$198
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$210
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: G2 Esports vs AG.AL (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$77
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$184
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$178
Showing 25 of 187 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT3016.7%5 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-50.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Türkiye leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Exact Score: Türkiye 0 - 2 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Haiti?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Exact Score: Czechia 1 - 1 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+536%+$97.76
Exact Score: Czechia 2 - 0 South Africa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 1 - 2 Colombia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Panama win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.85
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+71.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-43.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$18.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.