Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2cf95338734f67ca5c54e903b9614f3b75cd5018a4748609a4dfa762c5b7dd4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $247,329
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 64,238$6,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,890.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 11c | 21,364$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 11c | 17,855$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.52 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 9c | 17,690$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…7e0dbacked Yes | 11c | 6,780$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.8 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7595…50ffbacked Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…3ab4backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 9c | 3,680$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.08 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 12c | 3,047$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.21 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7859…012ebacked Yes | 12c | 2,962$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf536…e40cbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 156 | 16%25 W · 131 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a8…b42ebacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +14.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 1,818$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c41…eeb9backed Yes | 11c | 1,591$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…8232backed Yes | 11c | 1,503$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 255 | 10.6%27 W · 228 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…5187backed Yes | 17c | 1,184$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.66 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 388 | 17%66 W · 322 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…a73ebacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 11c | 910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f8…2b2fbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…438cbacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 29.6%40 W · 95 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe27…f562backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e1…e49abacked Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 11c | 909$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 11c | 854.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3838…f22cbacked Yes | 13c | 738.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 16cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…24a3backed Yes | 14c | 737.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 17.6%22 W · 103 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…4228backed Yes | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…693abacked Yes | 11c | 550.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…d7acbacked Yes | 14c | 510.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 414 | 29%120 W · 294 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a5…0f5abacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…3f71backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 224 | 19.6%44 W · 180 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbba9…2e70backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 198 | 17.2%34 W · 164 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1839…4d0dbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 360 | 23.6%85 W · 275 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe745…5681backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe00…e985backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c27…f2aabacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…73e7backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 23.4%34 W · 111 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +47%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd697…def2backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…bfd5backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 173 | 9.2%16 W · 157 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e08…b249backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2240…e11abacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf906…1567backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 9c | 431.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1286…da74backed Yes | 11c | 409.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3d…24e5backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d67…4d3ebacked Yes | 14c | 389.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x494e…d3dbbacked Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 24.4%95 W · 294 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 11c | 379.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…3947backed Yes | 13c | 376.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 157 | 22.9%36 W · 121 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f4…238abacked Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 178 | 20.8%37 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 11c | 363.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…130fbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 311 | 29.6%92 W · 219 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 11c | 341.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e6…c62bbacked Yes | 11c | 339.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d76…196fbacked Yes | 11c | 318.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853c…d32cbacked Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…c734backed Yes | 11c | 300$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 81 | 12.3%10 W · 71 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 278.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…1635backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…a370backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 17.4%27 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…99d2backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cae…fdc1backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…e2ebbacked Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…5730backed No | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c44…4b9dbacked Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…ed5dbacked Yes | 11c | 230$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa504…c842backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 28.9%63 W · 155 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…2819backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…c995backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9b2fbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4a…f05fbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 11c | 192.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…a639backed Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 125 | 20%25 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…f35abacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 401 | 45.4%182 W · 219 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 7c | 190$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…0152backed Yes | 13c | 184.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 167 | 31.1%52 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Yes | 11c | 182$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 29.4%42 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80c…37bfbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86d8…e520backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…0009backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 205 | 32.2%66 W · 139 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0c…5034backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 34.5%40 W · 76 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cc…2ac4backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 3 Japan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.