Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 1 Japan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb182e70535ccd4a9202766f64b0ecececd6e4e9118fbf28dcac10c3e3fdfc4ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $96,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 34,512$3,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,780.35 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 6c | 2,858$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.21 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Yes | 11c | 2,100$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 355 | 14.4%51 W · 304 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,596$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.04 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 6c | 1,452$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…1823backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…6962backed Yes | 9c | 1,071$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea96…693abacked Yes | 11c | 1,038$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 149 | 40.3%60 W · 89 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed Yes | 11c | 1,033$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 112 | 18.8%21 W · 91 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…569cbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…a780backed Yes | 11c | 900$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 208 | 25%52 W · 156 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 11c | 854.55$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…3727backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +8.3wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…100dbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 327 | 39.1%128 W · 199 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes | 11c | 808.28$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.91 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 320 | 46.6%149 W · 171 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a6…0dcfbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 29.3%41 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…2b31backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2240…e11abacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…264dbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 35%42 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e78…3945backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 195 | 29.7%58 W · 137 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0e…7d97backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 12c | 416$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 374.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 6c | 364.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 10c | 335.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed Yes | 7c | 286$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad37…dbd6backed Yes | 12c | 255$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…74fdbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 271 | 28.4%77 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 11c | 227$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 11c | 226.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 11c | 199.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 8c | 198.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 366 | 34.4%126 W · 240 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…4781backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +10.1wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…1635backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ef0fbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…1edcbacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9acd…6b20backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e97…1815backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 10c | 180$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…4773backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7c…1dabbacked Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 21.9%49 W · 175 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x868b…2106backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 26.2%54 W · 152 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fe…1471backed Yes | 11c | 163.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 148 | 18.9%28 W · 120 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes | 8c | 157$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 229 | 31%71 W · 158 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…acaebacked Yes | 13c | 153.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f840backed Yes | 12c | 151$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…e4dabacked Yes | 12c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Yes | 10c | 146.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 28.6%73 W · 182 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…a1c0backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a2…787dbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…a370backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 155 | 17.4%27 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda38…08f1backed Yes | 12c | 131.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0788…c287backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 184 | 17.4%32 W · 152 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 479 | 35.1%168 W · 311 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7393…751abacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 200 | 3%6 W · 194 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b36…0d4bbacked Yes | 11c | 119.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 736 | 26.5%195 W · 541 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 12c | 118.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 10c | 117.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…99a6backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0630…3fcdbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…131ebacked Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 75 | 6.7%5 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 75c | 16.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 379 | 50.1%190 W · 189 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 1 Japan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 1 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 2 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Tunisia 3 - 3 Japan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.