TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c29…acae

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT4040%16 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.61
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.41
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$25.54
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$575Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+85%+$488.64
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Exact Score: Japan 3 - 3 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)backed Tunisia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$275.82
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.2
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+150%+$375
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+144.2%+$382.26
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Exact Score: Panama 2 - 0 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: Portugal (-2.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$176.09
Spread: Algeria (-1.5)backed Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-70.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$41.63
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$139.48
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$209.24
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.74
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.95
LoL: T1 vs Movistar KOI (BO3)backed Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.98
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$69
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.