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Fifa International · resolved market

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,644,052
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$16,254,566

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,644,052 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 5,611 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd650…14fbbacked No45c7,392,639$3,306,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,086,557.99955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Yes56c1,855,000$1,033,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033,504.9715456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No41c553,319$228,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324,424.6777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c514,784$277,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237,481.394,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes48c487,052$235,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235,258.222,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes56c478,481$267,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267,865.1274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe22a…2703backed Yes45c399,998$179,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179,998.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Yes55c361,821$200,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200,336.7611642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Yes55c337,747$186,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186,355.869247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c319,736$150,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,400.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d7b…e2cebacked Yes55c308,501$169,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169,675.298440.5%34 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4bff…fc26backed Yes54c278,866$150,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150,587.672646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes57c261,109$149,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,332.1442345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc31d…4ebebacked No39c240,232$93,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146,541.583151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes58c225,978$131,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,925.911,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No58c215,900$124,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91,666.2115844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes58c206,897$120,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120,00019644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes56c200,000$112,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112,0008932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Yes58c199,998$115,443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115,443.2911647.4%55 W · 61 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Yes58c185,598$107,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107,647.0815552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e84…2fa1backed Yes59c181,225$106,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106,922.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No41c149,379$60,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88,818.1429952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes55c144,506$79,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,478.36448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes59c138,995$81,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81,888.082,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes54c135,610$73,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73,290.0822139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Yes29c121,530$35,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,070.0526320.5%54 W · 209 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02d8…0c91backed Yes58c115,383$66,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66,922.211361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1e…bab3backed No42c109,999$46,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,799.3422348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No40c100,337$40,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,135.6342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Yes55c100,000$55,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,00013738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4b88backed No41c100,000$41,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59,0002548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a5…122bbacked No41c100,000$41,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,999.837941.8%33 W · 46 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No53c94,649$50,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,314.231,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked No42c80,000$33,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,40014843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Yes8c78,922$6,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,609.5617550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes55c78,568$43,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,47476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes45c71,673$32,477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,477.3824441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked No38c69,999$26,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,399.533046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6d1…286abacked Yes56c67,806$37,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,971.3517447.1%82 W · 92 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes53c64,755$34,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,352.741,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ec…21a0backed Yes37c60,000$22,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,2004445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No41c60,000$24,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,4007630.3%23 W · 53 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked No41c55,838$22,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,139.459943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe9…a70ebacked Yes56c55,555$31,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,110.83339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x408f…b2f4backed Yes56c55,357$31,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,0004151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed No42c55,000$23,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,90017949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Yes54c54,500$29,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,429.9918738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No41c54,377$22,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,055.021,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4b…03d6backed Yes3c52,920$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,77012545.6%57 W · 68 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66c…cd67backed Yes58c51,724$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00018047.8%86 W · 94 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No39c51,331$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,331.1214055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes60c50,000$30,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,00016331.9%52 W · 111 L-11.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes61c50,000$30,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,499.9918740.6%76 W · 111 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes37c48,643$17,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,758.6831945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e17…d3d8backed Yes54c45,933$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,0001163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes59c45,897$27,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,006.942,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c5…ebc7backed Yes55c45,000$24,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,899.994938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Yes40c44,570$17,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,977.5611133.3%37 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed Yes55c44,243$24,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,339.8829333.8%99 W · 194 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…bb53backed Yes59c40,906$24,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,125.671030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c14…f82bbacked Yes59c40,892$24,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,126.38520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-68.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes51c38,940$19,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,959.6479231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160d…5295backed Yes55c36,157$19,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,886.336546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3eeb…c387backed Yes59c35,659$21,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,138.887455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes61c35,000$21,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,35027039.6%107 W · 163 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes56c35,000$19,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,449.9924058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No41c34,556$14,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,387.1116835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d85…197fbacked Yes56c33,541$18,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,782.967851.3%40 W · 38 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes27c33,203$8,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,974.143,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a4c…1f30backed No40c33,010$13,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,8063754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed No39c32,748$12,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,003.472347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes55c32,500$17,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,77521836.2%79 W · 139 L-19.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdf91…92bdbacked Yes51c31,296$16,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,014.911533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4543…72d1backed Yes48c31,282$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes49c30,544$15,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,099.0238734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes55c30,099$16,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,504.4553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf6…432fbacked Yes58c30,007$17,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,404.27966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked Yes58c30,000$17,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,3001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-38.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaf39…3101backed Yes36c30,000$10,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,8003762.2%23 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed No50c30,000$15,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,899.996842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x93eb…c387backed Yes56c29,879$16,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,619.88349.4%41 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed No39c29,416$11,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,943.563751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes42c28,836$12,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,082.5365835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc5…6f99backed Yes30c28,736$8,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,50015131.8%48 W · 103 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes14c28,668$3,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,918.574,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No41c28,617$11,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,883.9936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Yes56c28,571$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,0007035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Yes37c28,564$10,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,561.0117840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No71c28,366$20,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,162.8521738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked No38c28,082$10,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,411.027447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Yes55c27,500$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.9913259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes58c27,450$15,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,825.321,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb84…5fb5backed Yes56c27,347$15,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,314.325843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked No38c26,951$10,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,709.597642.1%32 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7650…fac1backed Yes58c25,865$15,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,001.74153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd3…dac5backed Yes58c25,862$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.96616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-77.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No47c24,859$11,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,089.2539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes42c24,605$10,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,374.4233337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Yes61c24,599$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00027433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Yes62c24,194$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00010457.7%60 W · 44 L+10.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.