TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,326,982
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,302,160

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,326,982 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x50f0…5355backed Yes26c300,687$78,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78,178.733844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes26c211,088$54,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,884.252,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No68c167,286$113,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,920.392,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No74c152,535$113,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,971.4629952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No73c109,505$79,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,912.5374752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No71c100,399$70,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,575.324,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No70c81,489$56,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,842.581,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes47c72,771$33,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,868.9142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes22c61,772$13,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,615.42,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7124…f0b5backed Yes34c59,915$20,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,429.922835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked No74c50,000$37,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,0009948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes26c48,932$12,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,935.0124441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c47,618$12,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,883.618,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed No76c47,082$35,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,299.7617452.3%91 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaa2…e80abacked No76c44,995$34,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,798.7613959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No78c43,359$33,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,576.5331945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No74c39,000$28,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,1409247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No74c36,271$26,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,509.5821738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes37c29,426$10,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,872.1579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Yes31c26,366$8,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,196.5211133.3%37 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked No59c23,876$14,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,827.1414250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No71c21,471$15,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,240.542541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes25c21,042$5,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,180.851,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No59c20,744$12,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,427.621,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d00…52f2backed Yes25c20,367$5,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,057.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c19,577$15,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,405.1733337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No75c18,087$13,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,509.993,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes30c17,045$5,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,113.4514727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc48…24c3backed No74c15,276$11,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,971.763842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No74c15,028$11,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,907.3936031.7%114 W · 246 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No75c13,736$10,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,491.6731232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x072f…ffddbacked No74c13,329$9,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,465.548450%42 W · 42 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes24c13,067$3,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,136.1470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Yes42c11,809$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00016957.4%97 W · 72 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No74c10,721$7,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.3376048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Yes14c10,596$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44936123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No75c10,546$7,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,653.0447643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No74c10,380$7,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,695.455045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes25c10,208$2,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.92,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No75c10,113$7,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.862,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No73c10,023$7,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.8815746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fca…dde6backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101326.8%9 W · 123 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No64c9,597$6,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,452.6436939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No75c9,500$7,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,42048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No74c9,381$6,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,446.5642043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No74c8,908$6,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,328.671,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Yes36c8,551$3,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,078.315320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c8,527$6,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,216.261,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No74c8,000$5,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,08036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9753…9d8fbacked Yes25c7,875$1,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.828448.8%41 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed No74c7,369$5,453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,916.0333235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1685…6de4backed Yes35c6,755$2,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,39527239%106 W · 166 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes22c6,656$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,464.351529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed Yes28c6,508$1,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,811.43638.9%14 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No74c6,500$4,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,68050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed No74c6,500$4,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,69086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked No74c6,467$4,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,681.5147144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed No75c6,400$4,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,63244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes23c6,328$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,478.0662633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Yes33c6,061$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f64…7a6dbacked Yes30c6,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+76.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked No74c6,000$4,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5601,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked No74c5,828$4,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.2833549%164 W · 171 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e3a…55babacked No74c5,640$4,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.3815044%66 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No74c5,553$4,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.662,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Yes37c5,430$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99812047.5%57 W · 63 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed No74c5,400$3,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4045362.3%33 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf975…4354backed Yes24c5,303$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.772138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes26c4,967$1,287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.371,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes30c4,953$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac6…122fbacked Yes41c4,878$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed No75c4,800$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,20847442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No75c4,539$3,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.7324443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes29c4,265$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,227.4365835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No71c4,201$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,197.392,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Yes20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57ef…044abacked No74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04013554.8%74 W · 61 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xab63…8f4bbacked Yes26c3,838$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012634.9%44 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No79c3,817$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.9412266.4%81 W · 41 L+12.8wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87ec…138fbacked No74c3,794$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.0818851.1%96 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No70c3,734$2,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.54,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes27c3,704$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002263.6%14 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c3,588$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.433,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x039e…624fbacked No62c3,547$2,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.15650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No75c3,500$2,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8751,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes41c3,500$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43513843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6af7…5a6fbacked No60c3,496$2,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.22166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6352…6726backed Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006448.4%31 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes30c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012556.8%71 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes16c3,331$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.9815127.8%42 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes30c3,291$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009225%23 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No78c3,260$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$717.6165651.7%339 W · 317 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No74c3,200$2,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83237850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa573…3987backed Yes25c3,200$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.966227.4%17 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid+4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdd1…248abacked Yes11c3,082$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.05333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xac9c…6a15backed Yes24c3,044$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.663938.5%15 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9c…2ee9backed Yes27c3,002$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.331020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed Yes25c2,990$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.462665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No74c2,944$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.4426454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Yes24c2,937$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.541,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.