TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfaa2…e80a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
232
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Lol at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13959.7%83 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 139 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81,750Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81,749.53
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,477.88
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,599.96
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74,921Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$117,147.08
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67,189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67,189.12
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11,398Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8,598.81
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$6,999Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$2,999.7
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13,706Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,706.45
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14,598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14,598.19
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24,394Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24,394.35
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40,904.44
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19,323Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$10,673.88
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$1,529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,528.69
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$36,821Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$13,173.65
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$6,380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$5,220
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15,419Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$12,579.03
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$52,770Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+32.6%+$17,223.25
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16,482Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$10,332.67
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$87,560Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$24,696.48
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18,914Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33%+$6,238.03
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$5,641Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,641.42
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$6,700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,700
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13,007.28
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,900
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,099.67
Showing 25 of 139 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT4353.5%23 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,667Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$555.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$18,383Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$5,306.42
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12,536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12,535.7
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,264Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$3,744.47
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$5,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,279.95
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14,191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3,778.61
LoL: The Bandits vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffsbacked The Bandits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,462.99
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$93
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11,039Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+29.3%+$3,229.02
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+80.6%+$492.48
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$697.68
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$121.94
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$85.61
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14,775Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+28.5%+$4,203.93
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,947Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,946.57
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 3 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.4
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$682Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$681.63
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,231Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$1,770.33
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,683Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$2,484.7
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10,835Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+76.1%+$8,240.66
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$5,210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+34.4%+$1,790
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$9,604Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$4,596.9
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,099.88
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,991Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$1,220.41
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT3053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$4,320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$1,680
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$2,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,250
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,067.99
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$4,971Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$5,329.07
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,295
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$4,249Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$2,938.6
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$725
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$280
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,680Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$1,320
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,530Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,530
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,520Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,479.98
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,720Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$2,280
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14,400
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$5,850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,850
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.75
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$2,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,240
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$3,237Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$2,223.19
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,119.99
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14,413Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$7,137.2
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$137.89
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10,520Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10,519.84
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,354Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$645.71
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15,115.66
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.5
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$990Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$990
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,607Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,069.74
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Dynamo Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.9
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs LOUD (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,351Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,350.61
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$957Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$957.46
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs MIBR (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$888Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,512
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.97
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$205.92
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$668.82
Valorant: G2 Esports vs NRG (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,993Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+87%+$4,342.58
Valorant: NRG vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18,099Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$10,347.79
Valorant: MIBR vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.47
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$376.49
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.