TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$591,150
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$650,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $591,150 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 392 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked GIANTX29c82,421$23,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,804.9933838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked GIANTX32c66,736$21,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,363.6357246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Karmine Corp73c51,000$37,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,925.292,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6373…a0b7backed GIANTX1c43,092$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.279621.9%21 W · 75 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp72c35,000$25,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,80091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ec8…3a77backed GIANTX3c30,638$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.19542.1%40 W · 55 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed GIANTX27c29,925$8,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,088.8351146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Karmine Corp68c23,055$15,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,338.692365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked Karmine Corp67c21,614$14,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,213.321,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Karmine Corp71c16,298$11,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,744.5213561.5%83 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Karmine Corp67c15,710$10,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,184.3964155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Karmine Corp71c15,000$10,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,35010346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed GIANTX5c11,542$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.982844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed GIANTX28c11,111$3,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,111.081,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed GIANTX1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed GIANTX21c9,882$2,121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,121.1785836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Karmine Corp72c9,663$6,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,718.481,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked GIANTX37c8,500$3,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,138.649750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Karmine Corp72c7,035$5,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.66460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp70c6,334$4,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,900.390348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Karmine Corp69c6,049$4,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.5298956.8%562 W · 427 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed GIANTX30c6,005$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.012,22637.5%834 W · 1,392 L-29.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked GIANTX6c6,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.9967552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp67c5,454$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,778.611,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed GIANTX25c5,034$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.4789943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Karmine Corp70c4,977$3,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,493.0116258%94 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaf…d959backed GIANTX31c4,839$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006246.8%29 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc06b…ab62backed Karmine Corp71c4,225$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.351258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX32c4,048$1,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,276.442,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed GIANTX36c4,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.981,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Karmine Corp70c3,905$2,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.8518953.4%101 W · 88 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked GIANTX33c3,739$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.674052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Karmine Corp70c3,555$2,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.521049.5%104 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Karmine Corp70c3,333$2,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.923948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed GIANTX35c3,323$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.094062.5%25 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp69c3,310$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.391,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae5e…13bebacked GIANTX29c3,268$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.6449541.6%206 W · 289 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Karmine Corp70c3,203$2,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.96235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Karmine Corp67c3,001$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$990.331,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Karmine Corp70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9001,09252.4%572 W · 520 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked GIANTX30c2,984$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.051,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Karmine Corp70c2,904$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.237948.3%183 W · 196 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed Karmine Corp69c2,843$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$890.0328859%170 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Karmine Corp69c2,617$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.291,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Karmine Corp70c2,600$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78359554.1%322 W · 273 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed GIANTX29c2,500$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.991,39943.7%612 W · 787 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked GIANTX12c2,335$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.891,59234%541 W · 1,051 L-79.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Karmine Corp70c2,210$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66320557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed GIANTX33c2,121$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70026661.7%164 W · 102 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked GIANTX26c2,100$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53817438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed GIANTX28c2,093$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.9847533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed GIANTX11c2,053$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.522,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Karmine Corp72c2,014$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8996057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp69c2,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6201,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed GIANTX1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…f510backed Karmine Corp67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.992445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed GIANTX39c1,996$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.58250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Karmine Corp72c1,961$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.5220348.8%99 W · 104 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Karmine Corp79c1,774$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.7838439.8%153 W · 231 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked GIANTX27c1,766$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2787844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed GIANTX28c1,750$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.733332.7%109 W · 224 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed GIANTX29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010239.2%40 W · 62 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked GIANTX29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9627447.8%131 W · 143 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed GIANTX30c1,717$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.147838.7%185 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Karmine Corp69c1,695$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.4512557.6%72 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Karmine Corp69c1,680$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.896250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked GIANTX30c1,670$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50137640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ced…0feebacked GIANTX30c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50076955%423 W · 346 L-13.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed GIANTX28c1,656$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.6656432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Karmine Corp69c1,645$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9960354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Karmine Corp79c1,604$1,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.661323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Karmine Corp72c1,590$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.6436460.2%219 W · 145 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked GIANTX30c1,581$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.042250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Karmine Corp72c1,523$1,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.2819959.8%119 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Karmine Corp69c1,507$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.2766458%385 W · 279 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…0f8fbacked Karmine Corp61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5853565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Karmine Corp70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5730160.8%183 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff8…5e5dbacked Karmine Corp73c1,320$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.4712953.5%69 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d2…86e7backed Karmine Corp71c1,304$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.676867.6%46 W · 22 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked GIANTX6c1,248$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2845937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed GIANTX21c1,199$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.931,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60dd…40e5backed GIANTX17c1,167$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022640.7%92 W · 134 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4582…82b9backed Karmine Corp73c1,108$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.0811761.5%72 W · 45 L+10.7wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x46a8…cde8backed Karmine Corp67c1,056$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.486755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Karmine Corp67c1,045$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.7852065.4%340 W · 180 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed GIANTX29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.061729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ff…906cbacked Karmine Corp66c1,000$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34012656.3%71 W · 55 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed GIANTX35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35082953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed GIANTX30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…f4e0backed Karmine Corp62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38064247.4%304 W · 338 L+24.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed GIANTX10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-23.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed GIANTX15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15066059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed GIANTX25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked GIANTX18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18032457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Karmine Corp68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32025065.6%164 W · 86 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked GIANTX38c999.98$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.9995847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb51f…71d0backed GIANTX4c999$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9611844.1%52 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x753b…5484backed GIANTX32c978.34$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.074461.4%27 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp68c967.5$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.62,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked GIANTX24c965.28$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23527244.1%120 W · 152 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.