TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,429

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over63c17,000$10,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,759.9592254%498 W · 424 L-1.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under40c13,000$5,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,799.991,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed Under36c12,794$4,606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,188.2523351.1%119 W · 114 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Over26c7,035$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.446460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under39c6,666$2,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,068.291,52254.7%832 W · 690 L+37.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Over60c6,301$3,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,780.8696948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Under36c5,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20067552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf1a…ba1ebacked Under42c4,807$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.832185.7%18 W · 3 L+7.7wins+0.37per pick49cpaid+86%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xf64f…9f48backed Over27c4,268$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.946230.6%19 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over29c4,178$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,211.5933838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Over28c3,396$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.5923948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Over60c3,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,80015046%69 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6401…f240backed Over27c2,904$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.1438148%183 W · 198 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over61c2,670$1,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,62959548.2%287 W · 308 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over60c2,550$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53011938.7%46 W · 73 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under40c2,394$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,432.992,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over46c1,809$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.512,23733.3%745 W · 1,492 L-71.3wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14cd…cec1backed Over37c1,506$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.016235.5%22 W · 40 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-23.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over1c1,482$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8252750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over64c1,333$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.121,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe222…b4cbbacked Under69c1,302$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Over60c1,231$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.811446.5%53 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked Over59c1,186$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.596136.1%22 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over44c1,000$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.282,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Over59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5901729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over60c966.67$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58025640.6%104 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked Over64c888$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.3214352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under37c811.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.0924832.3%80 W · 168 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed Under63c607.18$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9932755.7%182 W · 145 L+17.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadd5…ce89backed Under33c600$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.43650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Over64c600$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38449549.1%243 W · 252 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed Over64c583.02$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.131861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Under33c565.4$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.47934.2%27 W · 52 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over26c527$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.2319553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Over59c505$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.951154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over44c500.17$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.931,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09c1…0ddfbacked Over61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052326.1%6 W · 17 L-6.0wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xda20…cb8dbacked Over61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052763%17 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf035…052abacked Under37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764a…83d3backed Over61c500$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3056240.3%25 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2131…7325backed Under37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315128.3%1 W · 11 L-4.5wins-0.38per pick46cpaid-77.5%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Under35c499.98$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.9941343.8%181 W · 232 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Over61c491.8$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid0%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over27c470.09$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12990348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Over65c461.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.075463%34 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed Over60c406.65$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.9910346.6%48 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045d…185dbacked Over62c400.78$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25063458.4%370 W · 264 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over65c371.71$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.611,61643.8%708 W · 908 L-74.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1b0…53bbbacked Over35c349.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa6…3e62backed Under77c344.92$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781650%8 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed Over61c327.87$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003432.4%11 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2167…fa33backed Over60c283.33$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1702842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe533…18bfbacked Over61c262.3$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under65c250.78$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.771,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Over60c249.02$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9324650%123 W · 123 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over60c240$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.660943.2%263 W · 346 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Under36c232.5$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.890937.3%339 W · 570 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under46c231.74$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.340231.3%126 W · 276 L-28.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over61c222.12$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.4974637.9%283 W · 463 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60d…ad79backed Over64c203$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.924374.4%32 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3c…9f22backed Over61c196.72$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12012644.4%56 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c5…5f61backed Under36c187.22$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8216933.1%56 W · 113 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1333…c602backed Over76c172.34$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.951241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick65cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xbd1c…9bb3backed Under58c167.27$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0915956%89 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69b6…ae5dbacked Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.8wins-0.30per pick49cpaid-68.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…3053backed Over61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9fa0…ead1backed Over62c161.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over60c160.22$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1349947.1%235 W · 264 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fe7…9323backed Over63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Over64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006547.7%31 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7097…e1debacked Under48c153.93$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.579450%47 W · 47 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Under37c152$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.7625743.2%111 W · 146 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69f4…3b05backed Under40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905048%24 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Under54c137.48$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.2430360.7%184 W · 119 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x640e…e904backed Over61c131.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802711.1%3 W · 24 L-7.4wins-0.27per pick38cpaid-64.4%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over26c129.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.212,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed Over59c126.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.52445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked Over51c125$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.7512347.2%58 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over53c112.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6534834.2%119 W · 229 L-39.9wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Under35c110$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.51,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f87…f04ebacked Under75c107.3$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9822565.3%147 W · 78 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Under46c105.41$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1932955.6%183 W · 146 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Over65c101.25$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8116853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbbb…5693backed Over61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614337.2%16 W · 27 L-5.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under32c98$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.282,33039.4%919 W · 1,411 L-83.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked Under37c87.57$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5722840.8%93 W · 135 L+0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Under48c83.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3942852.3%224 W · 204 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6210…4fb1backed Over61c81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c0e…8177backed Over54c78.41$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3468553.7%368 W · 317 L-20.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1436…0121backed Over64c71.88$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4666558.8%391 W · 274 L-37.4wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Under41c70.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.821,57748.4%764 W · 813 L+17.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under39c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.71,18244.8%530 W · 652 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Over52c67.13$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9111340.7%46 W · 67 L-12.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-27.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Over60c61.9$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.141,39944.9%628 W · 771 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0beb…4503backed Over55c60$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.71258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over24c57$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.523,15933.8%1,068 W · 2,091 L-152.6wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Under71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3423880.3%191 W · 47 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Under45c53.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5448747%229 W · 258 L-1.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Under39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.479545.3%360 W · 435 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.