TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$460,174
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$572,148

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $460,174 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 407 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc44f…d49fbacked Karmine Corp70c56,983$39,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,175.6257246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed GIANTX30c30,000$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00091854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed GIANTX30c20,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00064155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked GIANTX29c14,142$4,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,101.132365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Karmine Corp72c13,060$9,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,626.751,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed GIANTX5c11,604$593 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.192844.6%13 W · 271 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7553…65cabacked Karmine Corp71c11,500$8,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,334.9867250.9%342 W · 330 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed GIANTX28c11,121$3,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,114.041,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed GIANTX28c10,176$2,858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.0785836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed GIANTX1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Karmine Corp71c9,963$7,073 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,890.1590348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed GIANTX25c9,539$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,386.9281143.5%353 W · 458 L+30.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed GIANTX17c8,706$1,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,501.361,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed GIANTX26c7,702$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.6351146.8%239 W · 272 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp76c6,565$4,983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,581.661,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cd1…285dbacked GIANTX17c6,500$1,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,083.239750.5%49 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Karmine Corp70c6,166$4,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,871.721,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed GIANTX20c5,666$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.791,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Karmine Corp71c5,621$3,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,630.0855955.8%312 W · 247 L+50.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked GIANTX31c5,295$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.211,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b96…1604backed GIANTX31c4,884$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked GIANTX28c4,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2602,00458.2%1,166 W · 838 L+86.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Karmine Corp77c4,383$3,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,026.811,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5054…0aafbacked Karmine Corp71c3,649$2,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.2118953.4%101 W · 88 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf991…3965backed Karmine Corp69c3,606$2,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.9721049.5%104 W · 106 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed GIANTX31c3,537$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.4613632.4%44 W · 92 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked GIANTX32c3,513$1,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10737640.2%151 W · 225 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Karmine Corp68c3,501$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.671,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed Karmine Corp69c3,493$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.8116258%94 W · 68 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x817b…543bbacked GIANTX32c3,074$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked GIANTX34c2,887$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.94247.6%20 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked Karmine Corp71c2,860$2,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.5328261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed GIANTX18c2,847$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.2889347%420 W · 473 L+44.2wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed GIANTX14c2,802$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.472,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Karmine Corp72c2,777$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.561,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2518…254fbacked Karmine Corp69c2,500$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77553355%293 W · 240 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e44…21bcbacked Karmine Corp77c2,500$1,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58530357.1%173 W · 130 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97fd…3313backed GIANTX31c2,489$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771.4817133.9%58 W · 113 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d87…e214backed GIANTX31c2,258$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70026661.7%164 W · 102 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed GIANTX27c2,235$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.472,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp72c2,177$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.31,06154.7%580 W · 481 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x581f…9d8ebacked GIANTX19c2,172$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.7517042.9%73 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed GIANTX3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6023020%46 W · 184 L-17.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-36.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed GIANTX14c2,000$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27794237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed GIANTX1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205920%0 W · 592 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed GIANTX29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58089943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45b5…c5a8backed Karmine Corp66c2,000$1,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.991225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb51f…71d0backed GIANTX19c1,998$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.2611844.1%52 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked GIANTX30c1,951$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.71,53662.6%961 W · 575 L+157.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7216…c838backed Karmine Corp70c1,929$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.571471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18f0…3d5ebacked GIANTX29c1,870$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.0411138.7%43 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked GIANTX31c1,780$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.846637.6%175 W · 291 L-19.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2f4…cddbbacked Karmine Corp70c1,780$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.074052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed GIANTX3c1,709$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.277869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed GIANTX30c1,680$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.0447533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…8a71backed GIANTX22c1,595$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.2247933.6%161 W · 318 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Karmine Corp67c1,550$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.4996250.1%482 W · 480 L+1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Karmine Corp68c1,543$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.596057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…d494backed Karmine Corp70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45020557.1%117 W · 88 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2269…6233backed Karmine Corp70c1,500$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44525065.6%164 W · 86 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4876…446bbacked Karmine Corp72c1,457$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0273…f081backed GIANTX26c1,450$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37433332.7%109 W · 224 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5409…79dbbacked Karmine Corp73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8630160.8%183 W · 118 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeef1…e845backed GIANTX31c1,301$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.812828.6%8 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Karmine Corp69c1,250$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.2482953.4%443 W · 386 L-3.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b1c…8273backed Karmine Corp80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2509164.8%59 W · 32 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed GIANTX16c1,200$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19228859%170 W · 118 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe752…2200backed GIANTX1c1,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121543.9%6 W · 148 L-0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-87%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…930fbacked GIANTX28c1,200$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3361,21644.4%540 W · 676 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb55…51ddbacked Karmine Corp76c1,193$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.9412557.6%72 W · 53 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed GIANTX33c1,175$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.651,15156%644 W · 507 L+25.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed GIANTX26c1,169$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010046%46 W · 54 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked GIANTX31c1,136$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502065%13 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1d1…6a15backed GIANTX26c1,124$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.3140949.9%204 W · 205 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Karmine Corp72c1,093$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.0423948.1%115 W · 124 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked GIANTX28c1,093$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.049636.5%35 W · 61 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked GIANTX28c1,056$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.6866843%287 W · 381 L-29.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked GIANTX27c1,007$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9387844.2%388 W · 490 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Karmine Corp71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2902250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd766…24e6backed GIANTX30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed GIANTX30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked GIANTX30c1,000$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30417438.5%67 W · 107 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked Karmine Corp67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3306631.8%21 W · 45 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed GIANTX29c999.99$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2901729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Karmine Corp67c999.99$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33066059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb12b…5a89backed Karmine Corp68c999.99$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3204261.9%26 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ee…45cebacked GIANTX25c999.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508840.9%36 W · 52 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed GIANTX26c999.97$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.991,20835.8%432 W · 776 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc06b…ab62backed Karmine Corp76c988.69$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.291258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Karmine Corp71c977$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.8158850.5%297 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0160…1224backed GIANTX17c972.79$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16723639.8%94 W · 142 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfad…fa05backed Karmine Corp73c958.9$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.91,21858.1%708 W · 510 L+44.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Karmine Corp68c943.75$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3021,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…441bbacked GIANTX32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022558.2%131 W · 94 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b12…5f8fbacked GIANTX30c935.69$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.7130856.5%174 W · 134 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed Karmine Corp68c917.21$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.5119959.8%119 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5db…0716backed GIANTX22c912.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010343.7%45 W · 58 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x876b…d4a1backed Karmine Corp67c894.47$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.186460.9%39 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e86…2db2backed GIANTX33c881.85$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.0124629.7%73 W · 173 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.