Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c659433cced667f65fc3e458f630a109da5320132f67ef114465cb0cfff5d9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,123
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,123 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 74c | 7,877$5,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.02 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 74c | 7,000$5,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.99 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 26c | 4,077$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.02 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 26c | 4,064$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.67 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 25c | 1,791$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.35 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 26c | 1,616$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.24 | 169 | 33.1%56 W · 113 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked Over | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Over | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 462 | 57.8%267 W · 195 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Under | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Under | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 26c | 628.5$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.41 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Over | 26c | 551.92$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 26c | 528.58$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.43 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…8481backed Over | 27c | 362.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 26c | 240$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 26c | 239.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.32 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Over | 26c | 229.69$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 26c | 84.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70a…29c8backed Under | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 73c | 69.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 26c | 58.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Over | 26c | 58.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…b31fbacked Under | 75c | 45.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 73c | 32.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…489cbacked Under | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbf…1184backed Under | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 287 | 59.9%172 W · 115 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Under | 75c | 14.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 73c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)Karmine Corp won
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.