Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3faacd3a438b560f24b3a70033edf14e64d6c5ee8b51652aa582b80ef3dc595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corpof Karmine Corp, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked GIANTX | 34c | 40,000$13,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,599.98 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 28,521$18,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,697.13 | 189 | 61.4%116 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Karmine Corp | 65c | 18,247$11,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,397.91 | 675 | 52.4%354 W · 321 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…9897backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 17,118$11,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,866.25 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked GIANTX | 34c | 10,315$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.86 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed GIANTX | 35c | 7,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 4,444$2,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed GIANTX | 35c | 4,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.99 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked GIANTX | 33c | 3,074$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.99 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked GIANTX | 49c | 2,441$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.01 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaf…d959backed GIANTX | 35c | 2,269$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.23 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 1,950$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.43 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked GIANTX | 37c | 1,788$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.32 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked GIANTX | 34c | 1,676$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.83 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -11.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 1,536$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.12 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed GIANTX | 33c | 1,424$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.93 | 595 | 54.1%322 W · 273 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed GIANTX | 37c | 1,324$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed GIANTX | 34c | 1,211$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.7 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 995.43$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.06 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 966.85$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.73 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed GIANTX | 35c | 908$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.37 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 800$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 677 | 63.4%429 W · 248 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed GIANTX | 34c | 538.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.54 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9797…c193backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed GIANTX | 34c | 497.06$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 483.42$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.36 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Karmine Corp | 64c | 476$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed GIANTX | 36c | 476$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.36 | 858 | 36.2%311 W · 547 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed GIANTX | 37c | 467.03$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.8 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b7…1454backed GIANTX | 44c | 459.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked GIANTX | 37c | 459.46$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 376 | 40.2%151 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed GIANTX | 34c | 447$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 329 | 41%135 W · 194 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 440.61$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.74 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…5d04backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 439.39$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.39 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked GIANTX | 35c | 428.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 406.83$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.32 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed GIANTX | 37c | 405.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 363.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed GIANTX | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 283 | 50.2%142 W · 141 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Karmine Corp | 17c | 336.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.47 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed GIANTX | 31c | 328.12$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed GIANTX | 36c | 309.69$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.49 | 277 | 35.7%99 W · 178 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 282 | 50%141 W · 141 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked GIANTX | 34c | 304.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Karmine Corp | 54c | 300$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked GIANTX | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karmine Corp | 72c | 281.19$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 257.58$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed GIANTX | 34c | 243.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.96 | 1,207 | 43.5%525 W · 682 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e2…2ed0backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 238.62$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.9 | 173 | 66.5%115 W · 58 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…9097backed GIANTX | 35c | 234.29$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked GIANTX | 36c | 233.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed GIANTX | 37c | 212.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.49 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 193.36$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked GIANTX | 32c | 188.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.41 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…0c86backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 188.65$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed GIANTX | 37c | 181.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc7…fc33backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 99 | 66.7%66 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…6f4ebacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 147.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.44 | 244 | 53.3%130 W · 114 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed GIANTX | 35c | 142$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 141.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6c…d38ebacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 134.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.85 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…f5c4backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 134.17$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb885…e677backed GIANTX | 37c | 133.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x003b…ace5backed GIANTX | 30c | 129.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…a6a3backed GIANTX | 34c | 124.53$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.34 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed Karmine Corp | 72c | 123.63$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.19 | 327 | 55.7%182 W · 145 L | +17.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 122$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.48 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed GIANTX | 34c | 117.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 206 | 31.6%65 W · 141 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0599…3c6abacked Karmine Corp | 65c | 105.55$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 821 | 61%501 W · 320 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed GIANTX | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14cd…cec1backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.86 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked GIANTX | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed GIANTX | 33c | 89.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked GIANTX | 35c | 87.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed GIANTX | 35c | 87.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Karmine Corp | 57c | 84.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed GIANTX | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed GIANTX | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed GIANTX | 28c | 76.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.31 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed GIANTX | 40c | 75.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe93c…76ebbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcffd…a39dbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed GIANTX | 36c | 69.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdad…fb9ebacked GIANTX | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Karmine Corp | 53c | 65.18$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 389 | 45.2%176 W · 213 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…b135backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 62.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511d…3633backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked GIANTX | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed GIANTX | 32c | 56.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac40…bd22backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 51.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.52 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)this page
- Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?No won
- Game Handicap: KC (-2.5) vs GIANTX (+2.5)Karmine Corp won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.