TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x109b…935f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
305
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: UFC, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 53 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT28261%172 W · 110 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 282 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Kaufland Hangry Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: VfB eSports vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Team Liquid (+2.5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$160.53
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
LoL Cross Regional 2026: DNS vs LOSbacked DNS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$208.47
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+80.7%+$181.59
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$253.13
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$166.67
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$88.49
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$147.76
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.98
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$129.63
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+92.8%+$69.62
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$191.8
Game Handicap: EWI (-1.5) vs HMBLE (+1.5)backed E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$103.57
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$185.39
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE - Game 1 Winnerbacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$69.42
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winnerbacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+150%+$112.5
Showing 25 of 282 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$235.71
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$244.74
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$171.43
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$1,102.82
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,093Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$661.09
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$176.09
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.