TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$794,499
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$832,142

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $794,499 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 483 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under26c208,290$54,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,153.9177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa407…ca38backed Over74c208,176$154,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,378.633458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under27c103,390$27,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,915.364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under20c82,528$16,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,472.224,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over73c51,798$37,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,985.391,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over79c43,636$34,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,045.482,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over75c19,041$14,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,806.041,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under24c14,958$3,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,548.1744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4419…19d7backed Over75c14,667$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.673271.9%23 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under26c12,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1201,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under25c12,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00036250.8%184 W · 178 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under14c11,863$1,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under24c10,628$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,515.173,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over74c10,488$7,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,725.832,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under1c8,833$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.337431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under26c8,145$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.533,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over74c8,091$5,977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,113.598,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d8a…f2d9backed Over71c6,897$4,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.092962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Over74c6,141$4,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.778158%47 W · 34 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under25c5,399$1,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,362.41,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under27c5,370$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45027951.6%144 W · 135 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d4e…6478backed Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508728.7%25 W · 62 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick33cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45025038.8%97 W · 153 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under25c4,800$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20037850.5%191 W · 187 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Under25c4,416$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10426454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,365$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6521314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under25c4,200$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,05038351.4%197 W · 186 L-1.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Under17c4,043$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.8723857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc32…92d2backed Over73c4,033$2,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.8210355.3%57 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under28c3,804$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.5419744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x109b…935fbacked Over71c3,803$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.821361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over72c3,773$2,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,047.241,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under26c3,638$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.262,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under25c3,600$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0c…d4dbbacked Under28c3,581$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under17c3,574$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.8737242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bf0…72cebacked Under19c3,568$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.488643%37 W · 49 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ecc…3ed9backed Over73c3,539$2,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.642540%10 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-33.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under12c3,490$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.3128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under25c3,333$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.2214325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over73c3,231$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.531,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under20c3,043$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.5432656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under25c2,915$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.946648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over73c2,762$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.732,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…3f70backed Over74c2,673$1,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695.12250%11 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over74c2,662$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.058252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under20c2,530$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.374,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under25c2,400$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60039050.8%198 W · 192 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under25c2,400$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60038451.6%198 W · 186 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under27c2,170$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.3139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdad9…c300backed Over80c2,125$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe879…750ebacked Over74c2,071$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.521275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd254…9858backed Over71c1,975$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.79462.8%59 W · 35 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Over78c1,852$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.0118943.4%82 W · 107 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under2c1,833$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3042126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under25c1,800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45035352.7%186 W · 167 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under25c1,800$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45035251.7%182 W · 170 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over79c1,765$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.2958642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over75c1,735$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.734845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over74c1,720$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.214562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under9c1,685$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9333740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over79c1,583$1,247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.941,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over78c1,579$1,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.622,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8adc…bafcbacked Over70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.9837754.4%205 W · 172 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d35…06b5backed Over79c1,433$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.8710251%52 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Over70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5711147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Under1c1,400$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1426534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…0bbfbacked Over71c1,395$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.461553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46dd…257ebacked Over72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.893164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed Over74c1,355$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.314463.2%91 W · 53 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.358561.2%52 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…bbcdbacked Over74c1,347$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.1612249.2%60 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3330465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c1…6b32backed Over77c1,295$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.0520448.5%99 W · 105 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc0…f02abacked Over77c1,290$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under21c1,281$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.591,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under17c1,269$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.7510942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Over80c1,250$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.27per pick66cpaid-45%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under25c1,226$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.939233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over74c1,216$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.2210261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over75c1,201$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.185550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30035451.4%182 W · 172 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30040848.8%199 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037051.4%190 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under25c1,200$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039951.4%205 W · 194 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over75c1,157$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.712,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…57b8backed Under26c1,154$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010331.1%32 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc48…c120backed Over73c1,100$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29737451.6%193 W · 181 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under17c1,037$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1526647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over77c1,021$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.392,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under26c1,019$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5922731.7%72 W · 155 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under19c940.27$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.012,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under27c938$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.0929449%144 W · 150 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under25c936$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23437452.1%195 W · 179 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under25c936$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23434851.7%180 W · 168 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Over74c930$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.222639.4%89 W · 137 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under25c917.04$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2671638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e7…50d1backed Under28c877.29$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.645228.8%15 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Over74c874.77$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.779662.5%60 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.