TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$297,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,281

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,298 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 215 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over32c35,498$11,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,398.852,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6149…b48cbacked Over32c31,076$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0004535.6%16 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96a5…b4fabacked Over32c30,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,6001855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under68c22,555$15,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,217.653448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over56c18,937$10,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,661.561,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc36e…12d8backed Under68c18,000$12,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7602934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under59c13,256$7,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,465.4764446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under68c12,793$8,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,096.5474447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e82…5dc9backed Over32c10,820$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over21c8,445$1,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,806.044,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under68c6,266$4,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.141,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under68c6,000$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,919.9986452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under65c5,797$3,742 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,055.259233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over30c5,159$1,564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5644,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under68c5,126$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.391,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over44c5,106$2,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,261.551,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under58c5,066$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,108.013,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under68c4,930$3,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,601.925857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under68c4,739$3,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.032,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under65c4,677$3,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.72,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under60c4,016$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,610.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Under63c3,486$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.5320547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under68c3,162$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.8237959.1%224 W · 155 L+20.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Under74c2,714$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.2120262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c2,701$1,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,076.268,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c2,471$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.063,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Over18c2,295$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.2334924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac2b…f419backed Under69c2,125$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.628243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under72c1,723$1,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48637650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over31c1,624$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.5818738%71 W · 116 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84e0…e90dbacked Under70c1,576$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.823435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Over22c1,566$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.3927032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.5346550.3%234 W · 231 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under68c1,378$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.261,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under68c1,340$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.613,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over28c1,254$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.4335424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over56c1,247$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.322,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under56c1,188$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.3938745%174 W · 213 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over32c1,140$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.822,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under68c1,122$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.781,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over56c1,042$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.511,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over42c1,038$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.592,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under68c1,022$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.093,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.0364443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49018449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad87…6a86backed Over41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4108950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed Over34c999.97$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.9922835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over3c941.76$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Under68c916.63$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.6525049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x059c…050ebacked Under64c874.29$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.7623637.7%89 W · 147 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Under56c840.6$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.517442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over3c833.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdae0…836abacked Under51c776.79$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.791369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick47cpaid+36.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over24c709.98$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.413447.8%64 W · 70 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under2c684.96$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$668.5242126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Under69c649.68$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.6336350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…1398backed Over31c645.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Over32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010537.1%39 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under44c585.04$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.6721143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x425b…dbfdbacked Over32c578.31$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.066836.8%25 W · 43 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x266a…3579backed Over44c548.32$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.263542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+52.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9905…add3backed Under57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.324025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-36.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Under68c500.48$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.1521046.7%98 W · 112 L+12.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf9e…239fbacked Over44c500.41$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x565f…cb2dbacked Over32c450$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1448338.6%32 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over39c447.7$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.431,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Under75c440.67$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.7870750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over41c440.46$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.762,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebbf…3b77backed Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under68c413.72$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5492038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Over63c402.06$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9119838.4%76 W · 122 L-18.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over47c398.33$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5458642.8%251 W · 335 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00cb…3992backed Under69c397.28$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.165349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Over37c350$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.56549.2%32 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0f…e5f4backed Over31c315.12$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993447.1%16 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009535.8%34 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+51.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa622…4448backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011325.7%29 W · 84 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x191e…dd9ebacked Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008831.8%28 W · 60 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc368…a3c4backed Over32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016953.3%90 W · 79 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Over31c306.29$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9329558.3%172 W · 123 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd252…775bbacked Over32c306.25$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986139.3%24 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Over49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Over48c302.96$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.425747.4%27 W · 30 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over31c294.93$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.598748.3%42 W · 45 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x275e…3cf4backed Under69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.865930.5%18 W · 41 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x243f…e2aabacked Over32c279.97$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under46c270.08$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.052,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff57…1802backed Under74c266.9$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1829740.1%119 W · 178 L-18.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over44c266.77$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.872,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a8…9643backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012040%48 W · 72 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over44c254.68$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.261,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under68c249.94$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.981,61651.2%827 W · 789 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd06…f0c1backed Over26c243.77$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3811748.7%57 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over49c234.44$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.72,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under61c233.97$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.32,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over36c220.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over32c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7036534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over27c217.52$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5830831.2%96 W · 212 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c3…72a8backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012544%55 W · 70 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.