Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x866c054eca751a2e561acabc44a5bb3229d01324f9ef25b5032c250c79486784
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,899
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,899 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x96a5…b4fabacked Over | 30c | 12,097$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.02 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 11,935$8,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,490.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…a7b7backed Over | 31c | 2,183$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.86 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -80%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 2,118$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.01 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 30c | 1,790$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Under | 1c | 769.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.64 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 67c | 732.75$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.81 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 68c | 597.01$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.04 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 70c | 596.39$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.92 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 70c | 591.34$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 847 | 51%432 W · 415 L | +10.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Over | 30c | 550.44$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.13 | 295 | 58.3%172 W · 123 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 77c | 349.98$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Over | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 36.9%86 W · 147 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcc…7c07backed Over | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 52c | 251.44$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 48c | 244$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.98 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 77c | 210$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 75c | 194.29$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…8432backed Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 77c | 168$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 70c | 112.58$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 25c | 109.95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 26c | 98.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 53c | 74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc18…1d52backed Under | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 70c | 58.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 429 | 52%223 W · 206 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 334 | 43.4%145 W · 189 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 49c | 46.62$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Over | 28c | 43.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 70c | 43.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.91 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 76c | 39.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Under | 70c | 37.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 475 | 46.1%219 W · 256 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Under | 70c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 77c | 28.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 70c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 397 | 46.3%184 W · 213 L | -28.9wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…5c74backed Under | 72c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1400…765dbacked Under | 73c | 17.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 0.5this page
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 2.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 1.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5Over won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5Under won
- Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.