TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$217,276
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$239,773

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $217,276 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under70c80,069$56,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,022.884,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c47,532$13,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,037.533,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under68c20,208$13,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,660.873,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over29c19,979$5,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,130.542,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under71c14,986$10,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,640.361,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under68c10,957$7,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,466.184,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over30c7,413$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,213.092,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over31c5,727$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,926.9215034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over43c5,284$2,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,021.194,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over29c4,478$1,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,191.742,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…2e34backed Over34c4,433$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,93327433.9%93 W · 181 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over28c4,425$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,163.822,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under70c4,206$2,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,928.942,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under67c4,000$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.9870648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over47c3,309$1,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.731,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3c11…9b33backed Over24c2,794$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.455435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over42c2,417$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.178,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9912…5d4abacked Over29c2,298$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.053063.3%19 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under69c2,195$1,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.231,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0249…5b4bbacked Over25c1,800$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.9935424%85 W · 269 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5da0backed Over29c1,800$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.83036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over35c1,798$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.142,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8de…3111backed Over29c1,332$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.729515.8%15 W · 80 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over39c1,318$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805.921,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed Under72c1,316$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.7184751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over29c1,292$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.5947744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under72c1,282$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.841,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under70c1,241$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.673,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under70c1,234$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.243,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb013…6c47backed Over31c1,122$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.512470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+35.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Over80c1,111$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5641968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over46c1,111$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.782,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over42c1,020$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.281,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Over30c1,000$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70018027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under70c904.99$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.141,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over30c903.88$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.4264443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under71c902.62$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.641,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…2b92backed Under71c822.92$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.028942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over27c791.46$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.6459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf0f7…eac7backed Over53c757.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.8910658.5%62 W · 44 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Over28c714.29$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.296346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b82…2291backed Over29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.665145.1%23 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over21c649.99$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.4916725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over46c646.73$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.2333120.8%69 W · 262 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Over29c630.93$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.9614428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c617.22$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.621,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under69c593.87$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.182,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc514…e9b4backed Over34c545.55$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.0619935.2%70 W · 129 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over29c541.72$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.151,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over28c539.66$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.9547127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under70c516.17$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.3277845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x414c…80c7backed Under66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3305648.2%27 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Over28c499.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9936838.6%142 W · 226 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Over28c499.98$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.9919823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over28c498.81$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.149635.4%34 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under69c497.02$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.941,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over27c448.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.321,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under8c446.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.042,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over34c444$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.8187651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f4…c6eebacked Over52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6217357.8%100 W · 73 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over76c381.22$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.172,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under67c373$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.912,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under67c373$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.912,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x947a…8180backed Over27c360.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.26728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ac9…92d3backed Over28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1422622.1%50 W · 176 L-1.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid+48.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dc8…6655backed Over29c357$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.476445.3%29 W · 35 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Over29c348$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.0826921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa429…ef32backed Over30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.339840.8%40 W · 58 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Over31c326.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.546129.5%18 W · 43 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Over32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.522643.4%98 W · 128 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf01…859ebacked Over33c303.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.947842.3%33 W · 45 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79c…cb96backed Under71c301.45$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3992038.5%354 W · 566 L-21.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over35c285.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.791,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5dc…a749backed Over29c277.72$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.182744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f14…ca5abacked Under72c262.82$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4970948.9%347 W · 362 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under71c256.54$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.931,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over30c250$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17552455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdd0c…fb1abacked Over28c235.71$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.7148334.2%165 W · 318 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0828646.2%132 W · 154 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under69c200$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1371,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58e…a0b0backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10019643.4%85 W · 111 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Over44c197.73$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.735461.1%33 W · 21 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under74c195.71$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7647546.1%219 W · 256 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c9b…7349backed Over31c191.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6712648.4%61 W · 65 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5669…0f13backed Under48c190$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.68140.7%33 W · 48 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeacb…4a8ebacked Over29c174.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.644934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4208…a0c2backed Over70c166.48$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.342665.4%17 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick65cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3556…c4c8backed Over28c165.43$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.11742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick22cpaid+138.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over43c156.81$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.382,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under71c150.22$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4742952%223 W · 206 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over30c147.93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5573234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…6310backed Over29c146.93$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.321070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+35.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over33c146.73$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0198439.2%386 W · 598 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015257.9%88 W · 64 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe417…7e1cbacked Over30c136.44$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.99742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick20cpaid+117.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x935d…72f4backed Over39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2111949.6%59 W · 60 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3cf…f0cbbacked Over56c125.2$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.224046.3%111 W · 129 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5a…d5dabacked Over28c121.43$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.433330.3%10 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+81%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over34c120.59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5921029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f8…7fd1backed Over25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.