TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2666…ade6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
90
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT6346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$374Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.5
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$240.69
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$738Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$380.26
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$297.22
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+247.2%+$247.22
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.23
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$386
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.56
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$182.66
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$141.73
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97
Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$221
Cristiano Ronaldo: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.12
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$186.43
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$782Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$439.95
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$514.29
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$510.81
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$84.38
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$80.91
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Figueira Da Foz: Susan Bandecchi vs Alina Charaevabacked Susan Bandecchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
ITF Zhengzhou: Junhan Zhang vs Ekaterina Yashinabacked Ekaterina Yashina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$366.97
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyerbacked Tristan Boyer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachkobacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$380.29
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonovabacked Polina Iatcenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$234.46
ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutsonbacked Martyna Kubka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.26
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Jiri Lehecka vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Set 1 Winner: Mensik vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$72.66
ITF Caserta: Nastasja Schunk vs Diletta Cherubinibacked Diletta Cherubini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.21
Centurion 2: Alexander Donski vs Tuncay Duranbacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$218.13
Set 1 Winner: Donski vs Duranbacked Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set 1 Winner: Azkara vs Montsibacked Montsi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+75.7%+$126.42
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.68
Marta Kostyuk vs. Mirra Andreeva: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$381.85
Set 1 Winner: Jong vs Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$23
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-44.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Málaga CF leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$159.7
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)backed Málaga CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$191.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$114.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.