TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Switzerlandof Switzerland, Bosnia and Herzegovina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$338,258
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$332,626

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $338,258 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Bosnia and Herzegovina79c51,863$41,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,051.064,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Switzerland17c40,099$6,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,482.2617748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Switzerland16c17,981$2,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,138.852,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Switzerland30c13,164$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,229.0614542.1%61 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Switzerland46c9,458$4,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,128.752,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Bosnia and Herzegovina75c6,657$5,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,004.4834964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x699c…5dc1backed Bosnia and Herzegovina75c6,271$4,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,714.057459.5%44 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ae…1002backed Switzerland18c5,162$929 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,232.6124917.7%44 W · 205 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick16cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Switzerland42c5,150$2,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,968.91,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Switzerland60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00066846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Switzerland11c4,899$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,343.473,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina76c4,214$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2006732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Switzerland12c4,040$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,566.98838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Switzerland37c3,899$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,441.9485550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Switzerland23c3,253$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,503.1920253.5%108 W · 94 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+20.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Switzerland8c3,124$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,862.3918056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Switzerland13c2,629$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.793,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina5c1,784$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0334122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Switzerland66c1,637$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.4514856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1f41…e6aebacked Switzerland17c1,612$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,337.758853.4%47 W · 41 L+7.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+31.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Switzerland40c1,567$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.6911559.1%68 W · 47 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Switzerland51c1,540$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.511,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeee…20fbbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina69c1,451$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Switzerland32c1,388$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941.214,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed Bosnia and Herzegovina53c1,348$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.4525753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Bosnia and Herzegovina68c1,300$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88410471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Switzerland37c1,223$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.2327255.9%152 W · 120 L+36.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+49.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Switzerland3c1,200$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.6448937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160a…c68cbacked Switzerland17c1,176$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.473046.7%14 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Switzerland32c1,167$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.8318837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Switzerland11c1,165$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.591,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7349…cc3abacked Switzerland64c1,077$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8720646.1%95 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Switzerland40c1,047$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.8410655.7%59 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Switzerland8c1,000$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92085851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Bosnia and Herzegovina4c999.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5898…8229backed Bosnia and Herzegovina2c952.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.052626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ea…2f71backed Switzerland42c914.07$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.2510753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Switzerland9c866$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79210836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed Switzerland30c833.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.3322633.6%76 W · 150 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Switzerland16c830.94$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.9951315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe005…090abacked Switzerland4c820$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.384843.8%21 W · 27 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+55.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Switzerland12c780.92$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.242,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Switzerland51c749.59$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.241,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Switzerland56c742.21$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.6246562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Switzerland14c741.58$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.662,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Switzerland17c734$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.11,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Switzerland17c725$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.7534125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Switzerland29c699.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.4917459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Switzerland17c667.26$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.842,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e68…fcb9backed Switzerland4c665.5$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.384761.7%29 W · 18 L+9.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+116.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xe216…52adbacked Switzerland36c592.69$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.314837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Switzerland17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.2418827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf639…4a74backed Switzerland17c588.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.2417322.5%39 W · 134 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Switzerland46c578.65$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.921,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Switzerland17c557.98$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.1313552.6%71 W · 64 L+25.9wins+0.19per pick33cpaid+129%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed Switzerland61c551.6$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.4225821.3%55 W · 203 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Switzerland41c526.58$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.8321143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Bosnia and Herzegovina6c521.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9946223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd08…04fabacked Bosnia and Herzegovina2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105820.7%12 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Switzerland17c500$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Switzerland46c474.71$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.4311254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Switzerland10c455$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.538437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Switzerland44c417.91$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.569962.6%62 W · 37 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked Bosnia and Herzegovina68c415.19$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4518765.2%122 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe960…a960backed Switzerland17c411.76$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.762437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Switzerland6c392.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.984,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Switzerland12c363$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.442,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Switzerland36c355.27$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.141,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Switzerland48c349.75$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.240240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2666…ade6backed Switzerland29c347.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.226346%29 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Switzerland30c333.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.3253629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc61f…35a6backed Switzerland16c315$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.631842.5%135 W · 183 L+0.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2d…3688backed Switzerland16c312.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.914146.3%19 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Switzerland28c309.44$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.981,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65e…b719backed Switzerland42c309.23$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3517040%68 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bosnia and Herzegovina40c294.39$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.848,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e89…3e0abacked Switzerland18c277.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7826716.1%43 W · 224 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina79c272.48$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.921,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina14c269.57$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.871,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Switzerland18c268.88$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.4858029.5%171 W · 409 L-19.9wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Switzerland20c265.64$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.5126459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe839…0a9dbacked Switzerland38c263.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.819254.3%50 W · 42 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bosnia and Herzegovina55c262.09$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.932,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Switzerland17c255.12$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.751,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fd3…30c5backed Switzerland17c254.71$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.413863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6888…a61cbacked Switzerland17c220.59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.0914430.6%44 W · 100 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+18.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Switzerland17c220.31$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.643,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Switzerland29c217.53$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.6818431.5%58 W · 126 L-19.1wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-36.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4abd…5a5cbacked Switzerland42c210$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.89053.3%48 W · 42 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked Bosnia and Herzegovina74c202.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.78871.6%63 W · 25 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Switzerland15c202$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1147744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87b6…4ababacked Switzerland16c200$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16845038.2%172 W · 278 L-28.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11239932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Switzerland7c200$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.0622656.6%128 W · 98 L+18.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xd8dd…21a8backed Bosnia and Herzegovina50c193.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.221241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x921f…263cbacked Switzerland73c192.48$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3092…4aa9backed Switzerland29c173.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.617959.5%47 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Switzerland8c168.01$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.767431.1%23 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe8…72bcbacked Switzerland78c158.68$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3317852.2%93 W · 85 L+10.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Bosnia and Herzegovina7c154.07$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3370750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.