TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$709,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$819,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $709,096 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 349 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Over29c82,015$24,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,015.219644.9%88 W · 108 L+9.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under79c41,070$32,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,559.172,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under71c40,577$28,704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,704.261,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over15c35,289$5,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,854.93,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over29c34,483$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,482.764025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23d8…0288backed Over28c33,276$9,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,958.8717949.2%88 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under71c31,284$22,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,211.4332031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x839e…0d3cbacked Under72c20,000$14,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,40013639%53 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over29c14,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,94027345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over29c13,950$4,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,925.051,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e6…e1c2backed Under73c12,500$9,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,1254158.5%24 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over22c11,879$2,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,311.463,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under0c11,364$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3615844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x963f…b421backed Under0c10,252$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.213212.5%4 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick9cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over19c8,897$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,239.8866846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cd9…9d8bbacked Under71c8,680$6,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,162.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick74cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over7c7,963$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,398.4910836.1%39 W · 69 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+32.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under78c7,160$5,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,572.6464446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7763…7830backed Under76c6,908$5,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2506233.9%21 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over42c6,678$2,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,870.8739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over29c6,666$1,933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,732.8632029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51ea…150fbacked Under78c6,432$5,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,049.1219332.1%62 W · 131 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2824…4aacbacked Under79c6,353$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010921.1%23 W · 86 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick26cpaid+3.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Under71c5,892$4,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,183.321,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under71c5,538$3,949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,949.21,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under72c4,861$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under73c4,789$3,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,495.971,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over27c4,627$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,377.5977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Over5c3,837$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,627.3739933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2193…e6cabacked Over26c3,819$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,821.899929.3%29 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Under71c3,767$2,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,674.898134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over28c3,500$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.989126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under72c3,060$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.954665.2%30 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202020%4 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under72c2,773$2,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,004.9822029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over42c2,728$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.938950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Over23c2,609$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.7636235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under7c2,544$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.7227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0783…8027backed Under2c2,495$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.911338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…708bbacked Over27c2,492$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,816.922240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick34cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under72c2,430$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.981,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaae5…2341backed Under8c2,420$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.65724.6%14 W · 43 L+6.6wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+88%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under71c2,281$1,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.063,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under71c2,281$1,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.573,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95d4…3c50backed Under1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010942.2%46 W · 63 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under74c2,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.9764443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over22c2,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,559.9418837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over20c1,940$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,550.7342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under71c1,901$1,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,353.692,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over29c1,724$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.1489443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over29c1,685$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.5511122.5%25 W · 86 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5739…e8b6backed Over29c1,684$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.444740.4%19 W · 28 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb25…f7f3backed Under3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508615.1%13 W · 73 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over39c1,608$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.0359453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over29c1,600$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,13622813.2%30 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick13cpaid+30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e2…4a79backed Over8c1,592$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.826352.4%33 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdef0…664ebacked Under72c1,579$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,136.753464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Over6c1,530$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.623151.6%16 W · 15 L+6.2wins+0.20per pick32cpaid+92.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over21c1,473$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.2747744.2%211 W · 266 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under76c1,410$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070.841,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Under80c1,394$1,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,113.6578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Under1c1,333$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1540145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over21c1,304$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.3545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Over29c1,294$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.9824555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over6c1,261$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,185.672,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x895d…11d5backed Under79c1,239$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.981844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under71c1,200$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.831,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Under5c1,145$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7253629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under73c1,114$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.754,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c0…5837backed Under72c1,103$794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7947167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over19c1,098$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.762,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad31…c93abacked Under2c1,089$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7717534.9%61 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under72c1,042$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75022551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under72c1,042$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a16…b7e3backed Over29c1,031$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.211553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7101,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over19c993.16$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.4651250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x279d…5e89backed Under3c976.18$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.145747.4%27 W · 30 L+10.2wins+0.18per pick29cpaid+46%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under3c962.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8825339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Over5c895.88$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.1712432.3%40 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over25c889.19$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.1895037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under79c888.45$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.6719946.7%93 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over28c877.61$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.088,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Over29c875.17$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.3720851%106 W · 102 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under2c875$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5622932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over10c859.32$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.2938437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under72c840$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd41a…aa9fbacked Over3c833.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$808.33944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick19cpaid+438.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb06f…884cbacked Over18c833.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.3325049.2%123 W · 127 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under78c818.6$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.9144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over74c753.99$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.7375335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Under73c733.92$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.762,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under76c726$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.762,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea13…7bc1backed Over29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.664226.2%11 W · 31 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6627742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb500…1cdebacked Under75c666.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017453.4%93 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over29c640$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.427637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under77c636.51$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48715257.9%88 W · 64 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb93f…4160backed Under72c625$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4509662.5%60 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.