TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,278,378
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,433,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,278,378 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 828 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under42c131,346$55,518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,518.384,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over61c117,791$72,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,566.6477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over54c108,991$59,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,991.3314248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdf6…00a1backed Under53c92,606$49,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,034.472441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over76c63,471$48,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,451.341,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over51c33,539$17,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,434.0815552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4e1…34a5backed Under49c28,013$13,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,726.256633.3%22 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under46c27,295$12,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,601.12,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c26,645$6,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,388.663,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Over47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,60012536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0783…8027backed Over48c17,021$8,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,800.141338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c15,476$7,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,051.873,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under49c14,650$7,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,208.3936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over51c14,000$7,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,860.0417840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under25c13,500$3,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,312.771,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Under1c12,553$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0128251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41a8…ff67backed Over76c11,842$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,842.117448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under49c9,999$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.6121937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1c…d8b5backed Over53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.9614734%50 W · 97 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under42c8,744$3,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,632.958,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under24c8,382$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.692,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4517…f700backed Under51c8,189$4,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,176.5610128.7%29 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over42c8,120$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,679.732,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under28c7,573$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,120.4817550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over66c7,541$5,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.7737944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under25c7,305$1,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.221,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf658…655ebacked Over50c7,181$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,580.6620262.4%126 W · 76 L-0.3wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under50c6,528$3,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,238.239233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over46c6,100$2,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2945429.6%16 W · 38 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under51c6,039$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.761,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Under51c6,000$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,059.996844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54f0…7725backed Under52c5,769$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009636.5%35 W · 61 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under26c5,769$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…294abacked Over76c5,623$4,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.525841.4%24 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under42c5,560$2,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,357.941,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under24c5,555$1,344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,344.3114325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a4…65f3backed Over77c5,507$4,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.63650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e4…07b1backed Under79c5,487$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.2418343.7%80 W · 103 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Under27c5,299$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.3226949.1%132 W · 137 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+2.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50014445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Over50c4,850$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,448.7425942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over61c4,593$2,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.8239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over42c4,222$1,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,433.2218837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under29c4,039$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,187.012,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d76…11aebacked Over76c3,947$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.378252.4%43 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over50c3,936$1,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,968.0313454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over77c3,896$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.18672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Under49c3,740$1,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,832.62441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under25c3,500$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88047643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under27c3,442$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.337533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over62c3,278$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,232.381,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d06…f79dbacked Under55c3,225$1,774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,773.5612536.8%46 W · 79 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1178…9fc9backed Over77c3,112$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.77757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under47c3,039$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.6539933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54c4…caaebacked Over20c3,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4007859%46 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under25c3,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76047144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75050243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under46c2,947$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.8928229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c2,758$1,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,323.811,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Over77c2,727$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.2710756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.430465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under34c2,540$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.371,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under50c2,522$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,254.432,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa0…e78abacked Over50c2,510$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.28950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over55c2,483$1,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,117.1230054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under25c2,400$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60044144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over50c2,315$1,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.9925339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15e9…26bebacked Over50c2,300$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.888052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd6f…1765backed Over40c2,200$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,318.9911946.2%55 W · 64 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8edc…552bbacked Over77c2,187$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.011963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over64c2,175$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.7766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9ff…79dcbacked Under52c2,154$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12013843.5%60 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd053…307abacked Under74c2,146$1,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.13256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over55c2,121$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.5675335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under24c2,083$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under26c2,004$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.983348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e2…1327backed Under25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12b0…e6d7backed Over76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801770.6%12 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick72cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9156…3d69backed Under66c2,000$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3103920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9922643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over48c1,977$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.9315034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under32c1,851$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.4419744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21d5…442bbacked Over77c1,848$1,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.0210949.5%54 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over50c1,830$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.9537242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under1c1,789$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8923540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Under9c1,722$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.5142126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under76c1,719$1,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,313.7316150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over53c1,689$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.484,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77ac…5750backed Over60c1,641$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.964772.3%34 W · 13 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+50.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under25c1,600$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40047442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over50c1,600$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80023857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over76c1,579$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.9510261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc66b…494bbacked Over75c1,519$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.823557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over67c1,510$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.6859453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa927…8d9fbacked Over26c1,500$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1104772.3%34 W · 13 L+12.7wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+107.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Under55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82524626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d28…ad7cbacked Under2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.