Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd2c78dba307033729f76e727d50e17ef991d2b4ad53d34eff0bc5319053810c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 80c | 3,059$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.79 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 20c | 2,541$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.3 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Over | 1c | 2,387$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 111 | 67.6%75 W · 36 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x963f…b421backed Over | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 3c | 1,020$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed Over | 6c | 925.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 21c | 694.24$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.79 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 18c | 543.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf01…859ebacked Over | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 34.5%49 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 79c | 460.68$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.89 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0f…3476backed Over | 22c | 261.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 179 | 38%68 W · 111 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…5ea3backed Over | 21c | 252.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc317…34c3backed Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad4…a675backed Over | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 78c | 197.91$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3803…7eafbacked Over | 7c | 170.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 208 | 50.5%105 W · 103 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 79c | 169.35$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 18c | 164$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ba…b34dbacked Over | 19c | 152.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3c92…c646backed Over | 21c | 144.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed Over | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 19c | 107$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Over | 21c | 97.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 103 | 35%36 W · 67 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Over | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…bb4bbacked Over | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Over | 15c | 83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbeb…f499backed Over | 20c | 75.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44df…5a72backed Over | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Under | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…7b04backed Under | 80c | 32.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Bosnia-Herzegovina won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.