TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$359,615
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$350,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,615 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa209…ffbebacked Over2c21,753$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,357.3659453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under43c13,358$5,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,700.9128229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over11c11,769$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,419.734,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0783…8027backed Under40c11,280$4,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,473.891338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over13c10,671$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,335.83,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8189…a808backed Under0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over52c9,615$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,615.1966846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Under57c9,007$5,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,133.738332.5%27 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Under0c7,906$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8236539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under21c7,608$1,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,615.6239933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over47c7,113$3,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,757.272,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over35c6,459$2,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,172.1739644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over49c5,653$2,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,855.9685550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over14c5,555$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,777.332029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over13c5,414$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,686.891,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6343…943bbacked Under1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013331.6%42 W · 91 L-0.6wins0.00per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over46c3,874$1,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,082.3413738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Under15c3,841$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.1315844.3%70 W · 88 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fcf…e455backed Under63c3,541$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.6514544.8%65 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+57.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under63c3,205$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,022.5544539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under16c2,992$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.9832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Over44c2,951$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,667.3221946.1%101 W · 118 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over12c2,756$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,425.2817625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over10c2,558$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,308.792,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Over14c2,500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,15034125.8%88 W · 253 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under8c2,444$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.5336235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Over57c2,399$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.3534845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under51c2,389$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.8426647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95f7…5541backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010544.8%47 W · 58 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77fc…0eacbacked Over12c2,000$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.9910518.1%19 W · 86 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over12c1,824$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,605.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Over14c1,786$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,535.7114612.3%18 W · 128 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd32e…b577backed Over45c1,748$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.211254.5%61 W · 51 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over8c1,645$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,519.7445428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under17c1,588$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.551,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…cf98backed Under1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159834.7%34 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89d2…7a0cbacked Over14c1,429$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.575722.8%13 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+33.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…d93bbacked Under59c1,186$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.977431.1%23 W · 51 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+28.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2e8…c60ebacked Over39c1,100$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.8410655.7%59 W · 47 L+7.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7544…ea2dbacked Over14c1,091$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$938.211634.5%40 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Over37c1,053$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.659962.6%62 W · 37 L+12.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under20c1,051$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9919218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under31c1,046$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9233740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93f6…2017backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ed7…d7c5backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Under17c999.96$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.9918642.5%79 W · 107 L+10.5wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b9…a596backed Under48c940.74$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.5620150.7%102 W · 99 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Under57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over53c874.04$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.371,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under15c853.83$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2227931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over57c852.21$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.191,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over12c799.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.9915920.1%32 W · 127 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over19c791.72$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.212,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed Under8c774.91$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.992020%4 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick7cpaid+121.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47d9…54b7backed Under32c741$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.0525942.1%109 W · 150 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Over14c714.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.297424.3%18 W · 56 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe70…ffc1backed Under50c700.75$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.429233.7%31 W · 61 L-8.7wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over4c680.99$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.752,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x735c…55edbacked Under45c666.34$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.519835.7%35 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over43c659.31$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.7730054%162 W · 138 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Over3c642.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.8542126.4%111 W · 310 L+1.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Over68c600$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19410940.4%44 W · 65 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under76c595$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.7837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under10c568.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.827047.1%33 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88f9…5c03backed Over46c561.07$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.9811559.1%68 W · 47 L+11.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Under17c555$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.92516%4 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-57.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Over13c549$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.637122.5%16 W · 55 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+40.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Under38c526.31$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6255…a29bbacked Under34c508.3$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.699323.7%22 W · 71 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Over10c507.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.240515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over13c500$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43515225.7%39 W · 113 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f3…3a31backed Under2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013441.8%56 W · 78 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed Over11c499.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.9924533.9%83 W · 162 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46cd…6b95backed Over71c488.68$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.113542.2%57 W · 78 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over46c459.83$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25046562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc595…994dbacked Under14c454.75$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1414526.2%38 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over46c449.51$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.61,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under14c435.25$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.7625125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x92eb…9fcdbacked Under24c432.81$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0919738.1%75 W · 122 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c1f…08a6backed Over4c430$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.825221.4%54 W · 198 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Under29c426.56$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7425339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Over12c416.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6643635.8%156 W · 280 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Over12c416.66$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.6647235%165 W · 307 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under26c407.14$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10522932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8edc…552bbacked Over13c403.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.11963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+65.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Under13c387$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under25c386.66$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.71,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under13c384.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7d…fa81backed Under47c370.5$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.774744.7%21 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.1420626.2%54 W · 152 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Over7c342.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.7953629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over13c333.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.271,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70b…d2f2backed Over52c320.64$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.740240%161 W · 241 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed Over11c300$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.31625%4 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid+89.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd684…7e92backed Over52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.53839.5%15 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x372e…4453backed Over13c299.99$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.9914829.1%43 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over15c299.22$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.358838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x22bc…b0b2backed Under17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504055%22 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f5d…7590backed Over14c280.71$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.414632.6%15 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+26.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over39c279.55$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5323857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.