Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30a596a5bc3be1ccbecaa137f2d6caeee512850eab960af6df25fe503e17f7e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5706…bd5abacked Over | 12c | 1,664$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.64 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda8…fc16backed Over | 12c | 1,543$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 12c | 1,524$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…4aa3backed Over | 10c | 1,062$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Over | 4c | 596.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Over | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4186…7513backed Over | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 10c | 213$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 11c | 176.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 19c | 151$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…236ebacked Over | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfe…6edabacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Bosnia and Herzegovina (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)Switzerland won
- Spread: Switzerland (-3.5)Bosnia-Herzegovina won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 2.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 0.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 1.5Over won
- Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.