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Fifa International · resolved market

Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Switzerland O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,042
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,042 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x033f…618ebacked Under1c4,070$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4965737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over8c1,836$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,697.759453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf021…e900backed Under3c1,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036437.1%135 W · 229 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under71c1,397$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.53,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under69c1,236$851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.473,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over5c1,146$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.422,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under2c1,110$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.912,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1695…324cbacked Over36c999.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.3910931.2%34 W · 75 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under72c999.97$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.9864443.3%279 W · 365 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over22c830.89$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6482,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over17c788.33$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.054,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34f…1c95backed Under71c731.99$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bf6…d1b3backed Over29c690.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.074940.8%20 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c659.46$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.412,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over24c588.94$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.451,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under71c561.68$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.931,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under73c470$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3443,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under75c416$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.014,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over28c367.63$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.552,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under69c341$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.292,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x22dd…33c0backed Over29c322.62$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.061050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f8d…edbebacked Under72c306.96$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.013737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c240.75$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under71c217.26$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.361,06849.2%525 W · 543 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over34c214.47$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.71,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e35…3655backed Over30c166.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.96123%14 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b43…7829backed Over10c151.14$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+463.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Under71c149.99$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.4914750.3%74 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a83…f2edbacked Over28c143.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.938527.1%23 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x944f…0da6backed Under71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013862.3%86 W · 52 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba3e…4eaebacked Under73c137.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x441a…130abacked Under75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007669.7%53 W · 23 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0a2…b58ebacked Over29c116.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.877022.9%16 W · 54 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under74c115$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5532855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcb2…02b0backed Over29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4536534.2%125 W · 240 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Over30c103.33$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3349426.7%132 W · 362 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3541…8f2abacked Over28c101.85$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.851145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.21,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721,20448.9%589 W · 615 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Over30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x841a…61adbacked Under69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8814746.9%69 W · 78 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b5f…480abacked Over29c86.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2112028.3%34 W · 86 L-10.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over28c79.97$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5895739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over34c79.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.481,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xffd0…93fcbacked Under71c76.55$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3511243.8%49 W · 63 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b41…d741backed Over30c75.73$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.061225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb2…71a2backed Over28c75$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547243.1%31 W · 41 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x369f…798bbacked Over28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4318236.3%66 W · 116 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae6…3fe9backed Over29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.979355.9%52 W · 41 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf561…f20dbacked Under73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508545.9%39 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under70c66$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.22,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfccf…2aefbacked Under76c65.81$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed Over33c59.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.944235.7%15 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under72c49.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.742,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d64…f266backed Over29c49.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.334042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd41…e14fbacked Over32c49.37$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.377729.9%23 W · 54 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-30%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under72c47.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.462,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42ef…4acbbacked Under72c44.07$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.732050%10 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ba0…14e4backed Under73c41.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52fd…f525backed Over28c41.07$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.574254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6118…8a3abacked Over28c41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.525554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.281,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa1d…135abacked Over27c38.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+264.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Under47c29.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.853412.9%10 W · 331 L-132.4wins-0.39per pick42cpaid-94%equal weight10-0.36 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under70c27.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8820561%125 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Under74c27.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021463.6%136 W · 78 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under73c26.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1419038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Under71c22.55$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0139746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f32…ada6backed Under74c20.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15771.4%5 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick72cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac5d…7270backed Under78c19.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151478.6%11 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2887…6574backed Under70c15.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1130%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Over76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.621,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dae…6149backed Under73c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.95450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 34 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.